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Euro poised to rally to 1.40 against US dollar – BCA Research

According to Jeremie Peloso, Chief Europe Strategist at financial advisory firm BCA Research, the euro is in the early stages of a multi-year bull market that could eventually take EUR/USD to 1.40.

Today at 9:44 AM
Euro poised to rally to 1.40 against US dollar – BCA Research

According to Jeremie Peloso, Chief Europe Strategist at financial advisory firm BCA Research, the euro is in the early stages of a multi-year bull market that could eventually take EUR/USD to 1.40.

Today at 9:44 AM
Euro poised to rally to 1.40 against US dollar – BCA Research
Germany’s declining competitiveness makes exporters lose ground — Bundesbank

According to the Bundesbank’s report, German exporters have lost much of their global market share since 2021, primarily due to the country's declining competitiveness. A key driver behind the sharp drop in German exports between 2021 and 2023 was worsening supply-side conditions.

Today at 7:55 AM
Germany’s declining competitiveness makes exporters lose ground — Bundesbank
ECB officials say they intend to pause rate cuts despite US tariff risks

Five senior European Central Bank officials said that the US President's threat to impose 30% tariffs on European imports complicates the regulator's decision-making process. However, they said this is unlikely to derail plans to pause rate cuts next week.

Today at 6:19 AM
ECB officials say they intend to pause rate cuts despite US tariff risks
EU plans to boost cooperation with other nations to counter US import tariffs

The European Union (EU) plans to strengthen cooperation with other countries affected by US President Donald Trump's import tariffs, following new trade threats against the bloc and America's other trading partners, Bloomberg reports.

Yesterday at 11:37 AM
EU plans to boost cooperation with other nations to counter US import tariffs
Euro dips after Trump threatens 30% tariffs on EU imports

On Monday, the euro hit a three-week low after US President Donald Trump announced plans to impose 30% tariffs on European Union imports starting August 1, Reuters reported. The news weighed on the EU’s single currency as markets reacted to the potential trade escalation.

Yesterday at 8:18 AM
Euro dips after Trump threatens 30% tariffs on EU imports
German Chancellor says US import tariffs will hit German industry hard

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz warned that US President Donald Trump's plan to impose 30% tariffs may significantly harm domestic exporters if the two countries fail to resolve their disagreements in the coming weeks.

Yesterday at 7:20 AM
German Chancellor says US import tariffs will hit German industry hard
European Union. CFTC EUR speculative positions. The value of the indicator has increased from 107.5K to 120.6K

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.

11 July
Italy plans to exit EU budget deficit procedure ahead of schedule

Italy’s Economy Minister Giancarlo Giorgetti states the country plans to exit the European Union's excessive budget deficit procedure ahead of schedule, as early as 2026.

11 July
Italy plans to exit EU budget deficit procedure ahead of schedule
JPMorgan CEO expresses pessimism over Europe’s economic outlook

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon delivered a sharp critique of Europe’s economic outlook. He warned that the region’s standing on the global stage continues to weaken. As a solution, he proposed finalizing the creation of a unified market.

11 July
JPMorgan CEO expresses pessimism over Europe’s economic outlook
French Prime Minister Francois Bayrou urges ECB to boost support for EU economy

French Prime Minister Francois Bayrou has called on the European Central Bank (ECB) to intensify its efforts to stimulate economic growth across the EU. In an interview with LCI television, Bayrou emphasized that France needs creditors willing to invest in the country and believe in its future.

11 July
French Prime Minister Francois Bayrou urges ECB to boost support for EU economy

The European currency is one of the world's major monetary units. It has a crucial role to play in the global economy. Market participants constantly need to identify trends and forecast fluctuations in the euro exchange rate in order to make reasonable trading decisions.

Key drivers of the euro are the following:

  • Macroeconomic indicators such as consumer price indices (CPI), estimates of gross domestic product (GDP), and central bank decisions;
  • Political variables such as geopolitical stability and government policies.

Market manipulation by large investors has a significant impact on the exchange rate of the European currency. Their actions can both stabilize and greatly shake the money market. These may include:

  • large injections or withdrawals of currency from the market;
  • change in the general mood among investors, which often depends on economic and political conditions.

Investment activity monitoring can help to understand and predict trends in the movement of the European currency rates.

Forecasting the value of the euro is a challenging task. There are many reasons for this, including geopolitical and economic risks that make foreign exchange markets particularly susceptible to change. Minor political instability or financial crisis in certain countries may have a significant impact on the value of the European currency, emphasizing the need to carefully consider these factors when developing investment strategies.

Successful trading the Eurozone currency requires a comprehensive approach. Analyzing global political and economic circumstances, taking into account the influence of traders, and assessing risks are integral parts of the decision-making process for opening trading positions.