Euro News (EUR)

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No change of the indicator value may reduce the volatility of the related markets.

5 September
Germany. German CPI (MoM). The value of the indicator remained at the same level of 0%

No change of the indicator value may reduce the volatility of the related markets.

10 July
France's budget concerns remain pressing and dampen investor sentiment — Reuters

While conditions in many European markets are beginning to improve, boosting investor optimism, France continues to face challenges. The key issue for one of the eurozone's leading economies is its growing budget deficit, Reuters reports.

9 July
France's budget concerns remain pressing and dampen investor sentiment — Reuters
Goldman Sachs and HSBC warn of higher German bond yields amid fiscal expansion

Leading global banks, Goldman Sachs and HSBC, are cautioning investors about rising yields on German government bonds as Berlin ramps up its budget spending. Despite strong demand for top-rated "AAA" assets, analysts note that the country’s debt market is now facing growing pressure.

9 July
Goldman Sachs and HSBC warn of higher German bond yields amid fiscal expansion
ECB's Vujcic sees need for caution in further interest rate changes

According to Boris Vujcic, a member of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank (ECB), the regulator should not perceive the temporary drop in inflation in Europe below the 2% target as something too serious. The ECB mustn’t hurry with further interest rate changing.

9 July
ECB's Vujcic sees need for caution in further interest rate changes
ING expects euro-dollar currency pair to consolidate within 1.1700–1.1830 range this week

Analysts at ING forecast the euro-dollar currency pair to consolidate within the range of 1.1700–1.1830 this week. However, they warn of an upside risk to 1.1900–1.1910 if Washington misjudges market sentiment. Yet, this scenario is unlikely.

8 July
ING expects euro-dollar currency pair to consolidate within 1.1700–1.1830 range this week
ECB expected to cut rates by 25 basis points in July — UBS forecast

Analysts at UBS predict the European Central Bank (ECB) could deliver another rate cut amid global economic uncertainty, with a 25 basis point reduction to 1.75% expected on July 24. However, ongoing EU-US trade talks could influence this outlook.

8 July
ECB expected to cut rates by 25 basis points in July — UBS forecast
Villeroy from ECB considers using quantitative easing instead of negative rates

According to Francois Villeroy de Galhau, Governing Council member at the European Central Bank (ECB), the best alternative tool for managing monetary policy is large-scale asset purchases.

8 July
Villeroy from ECB considers using quantitative easing instead of negative rates
German industry showed growth amid possible increase in duties from US

German industrial production showed unexpected growth in May. According to Bloomberg experts, the increase in output was driven by companies' efforts to accelerate shipments to the US ahead of potential higher tariffs.

8 July
German industry showed growth amid possible increase in duties from US
Germany. Germany Trade Balance. The value of the indicator has increased from €15.8B to €18.4B

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.

8 July
European Union. CFTC EUR speculative positions. The value of the indicator has decreased from 111.1K to 107.5K

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of EUR.

7 July

The European currency is one of the world's major monetary units. It has a crucial role to play in the global economy. Market participants constantly need to identify trends and forecast fluctuations in the euro exchange rate in order to make reasonable trading decisions.

Key drivers of the euro are the following:

  • Macroeconomic indicators such as consumer price indices (CPI), estimates of gross domestic product (GDP), and central bank decisions;
  • Political variables such as geopolitical stability and government policies.

Market manipulation by large investors has a significant impact on the exchange rate of the European currency. Their actions can both stabilize and greatly shake the money market. These may include:

  • large injections or withdrawals of currency from the market;
  • change in the general mood among investors, which often depends on economic and political conditions.

Investment activity monitoring can help to understand and predict trends in the movement of the European currency rates.

Forecasting the value of the euro is a challenging task. There are many reasons for this, including geopolitical and economic risks that make foreign exchange markets particularly susceptible to change. Minor political instability or financial crisis in certain countries may have a significant impact on the value of the European currency, emphasizing the need to carefully consider these factors when developing investment strategies.

Successful trading the Eurozone currency requires a comprehensive approach. Analyzing global political and economic circumstances, taking into account the influence of traders, and assessing risks are integral parts of the decision-making process for opening trading positions.