No change of the indicator value may reduce the volatility of the related markets.
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EU to prepare countermeasures amid US trade stance hardening — Bloomberg
Bloomberg reports that EU officials will meet this week to discuss a plan in case negotiations with US President Donald Trump collapse. However, most member states still hope to strike a deal with Washington by the end of the month.
21 July
Erste Group analysts anticipate the European Central Bank (ECB) will maintain current interest rates at its July 24 meeting, following June's 25 basis-point cut that lowered the deposit rate to 2%.
21 July
An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.
18 July
US businesses use option strategies to shield euro revenues from rising dollar
The options market shows investor expectations for currency movements. Right now, signals suggest fading confidence in further dollar weakness. Some companies are buying up euro put options that will appreciate if the euro weakens, to hedge against a potential decline in the European currency.
18 July
ING: French budget deficit threatens euro stability and debt markets
Renewed concerns about the growth of France's public budget deficit are affecting financial stability and weakening interest in the euro. ING Groep NV strategists predict that the growing budget deficit could reduce demand for the European currency.
18 July
An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.
18 July
A Reuters survey indicates the eurozone economy remains resilient despite potential US tariffs. While the threat of 30% duties on EU goods poses risks, economists expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to keep rates unchanged at 2.0% at its July 24 meeting.
18 July
EU proposes joint borrowing to finance crisis instrument
The European Commission has proposed creating an anti-crisis tool with a budget of 400 billion euros ($464.76 billion), financed through joint borrowing. This new budgetary instrument will provide loans to countries to help them respond more quickly to adverse events.
18 July
Trump's plan to impose 30% tariffs on EU imports could slow Germany's GDP growth — IMK
Starting in August, the US plans to impose 30% tariffs on imports from the EU, which could slow Germany's economic growth by 0.25 percentage points this year and next. The IMK institute made this forecast, pointing to the negative impact of trade tensions on Germany's economy.
17 July
European Commission proposes to increase EU budget to 2 trillion euros
On Wednesday, the European Commission proposed an EU budget of 2 trillion euros ($2.31 trillion) for 2028–2034. The new draft is focused on boosting economic competitiveness and defense.
17 July
The European currency is one of the world's major monetary units. It has a crucial role to play in the global economy. Market participants constantly need to identify trends and forecast fluctuations in the euro exchange rate in order to make reasonable trading decisions.
Key drivers of the euro are the following:
- Macroeconomic indicators such as consumer price indices (CPI), estimates of gross domestic product (GDP), and central bank decisions;
- Political variables such as geopolitical stability and government policies.
Market manipulation by large investors has a significant impact on the exchange rate of the European currency. Their actions can both stabilize and greatly shake the money market. These may include:
- large injections or withdrawals of currency from the market;
- change in the general mood among investors, which often depends on economic and political conditions.
Investment activity monitoring can help to understand and predict trends in the movement of the European currency rates.
Forecasting the value of the euro is a challenging task. There are many reasons for this, including geopolitical and economic risks that make foreign exchange markets particularly susceptible to change. Minor political instability or financial crisis in certain countries may have a significant impact on the value of the European currency, emphasizing the need to carefully consider these factors when developing investment strategies.
Successful trading the Eurozone currency requires a comprehensive approach. Analyzing global political and economic circumstances, taking into account the influence of traders, and assessing risks are integral parts of the decision-making process for opening trading positions.
