No change of the indicator value may reduce the volatility of the related markets.
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No change of the indicator value may reduce the volatility of the related markets.
17 July
No change of the indicator value may reduce the volatility of the related markets.
17 July
Bundesbank data points to German economic stagnation in Q2
According to the Bundesbank, Germany's economy likely showed no growth in the second quarter after a surprisingly strong expansion at the start of the year. In the first quarter of 2025, the country's GDP grew by 0.4%.
17 July
Morgan Stanley strategists predict that the euro could rise to 1.30 per dollar as European investors seek to hedge nearly $4 trillion in US assets. Doubts about the dollar's status as a safe-haven asset are prompting investors to protect themselves from further volatility.
17 July
Bloomberg analysts warn that escalating US import tariffs could push the European Union toward recession. Proposed 30% duties on EU goods would further strain bloc economies already struggling with France's growing budget deficit and Germany's economic stagnation.
16 July
An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.
16 July
Francois Bayrou announced measures to address France's growing budget deficit
Francois Bayrou has announced measures to address France's growing budget deficit. The government plans to reduce the deficit by 43.8 billion euros ($50.88 billion) to stabilize public finances, aiming to lower it to 4.6% by 2026 and 3% by 2029.
16 July
ZEW reports improvement in German investor sentiment in July above forecasts
According to the ZEW economic research institute, German investor sentiment rose to 52.7 points in July from 47.5 points in June. This exceeded the forecast of analysts polled by Reuters, who had expected a rise to 50.3.
16 July
According to Jeremie Peloso, Chief Europe Strategist at financial advisory firm BCA Research, the euro is in the early stages of a multi-year bull market that could eventually take EUR/USD to 1.40.
15 July
Germany’s declining competitiveness makes exporters lose ground — Bundesbank
According to the Bundesbank’s report, German exporters have lost much of their global market share since 2021, primarily due to the country's declining competitiveness. A key driver behind the sharp drop in German exports between 2021 and 2023 was worsening supply-side conditions.
15 July
The European currency is one of the world's major monetary units. It has a crucial role to play in the global economy. Market participants constantly need to identify trends and forecast fluctuations in the euro exchange rate in order to make reasonable trading decisions.
Key drivers of the euro are the following:
- Macroeconomic indicators such as consumer price indices (CPI), estimates of gross domestic product (GDP), and central bank decisions;
- Political variables such as geopolitical stability and government policies.
Market manipulation by large investors has a significant impact on the exchange rate of the European currency. Their actions can both stabilize and greatly shake the money market. These may include:
- large injections or withdrawals of currency from the market;
- change in the general mood among investors, which often depends on economic and political conditions.
Investment activity monitoring can help to understand and predict trends in the movement of the European currency rates.
Forecasting the value of the euro is a challenging task. There are many reasons for this, including geopolitical and economic risks that make foreign exchange markets particularly susceptible to change. Minor political instability or financial crisis in certain countries may have a significant impact on the value of the European currency, emphasizing the need to carefully consider these factors when developing investment strategies.
Successful trading the Eurozone currency requires a comprehensive approach. Analyzing global political and economic circumstances, taking into account the influence of traders, and assessing risks are integral parts of the decision-making process for opening trading positions.
