Euro News (EUR)

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No change of the indicator value may reduce the volatility of the related markets.

5 September
Lagarde stressed ECB’s readiness to take action amid high uncertainty

European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde stated that the regulator is prepared to respond to increasing economic uncertainty tied to global market tensions.

24 June
Lagarde stressed ECB’s readiness to take action amid high uncertainty
France faces growing risks of another political crisis over pension reform disputes

As reported by Bloomberg, French authorities' negotiations over the pension reform, introduced in 2023 by Emmanuel Macron, have stalled. The controversy surrounding the pension reform may plunge France back into a period of uncertainty, hitting the country's economy.

24 June
France faces growing risks of another political crisis over pension reform disputes
ECB’s quantitative easing should only be used in extreme cases — Bundesbank chief

The European Central Bank (ECB) should only resort to large-scale bond purchases in "absolutely exceptional cases" given the significant losses caused by this monetary stimulus measure, according to Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel.

24 June
ECB’s quantitative easing should only be used in extreme cases — Bundesbank chief
Germany’s manufacturing and private sectors grow first time since 2022

The private sector in Germany resumed growth in the current month. It also demonstrated its best manufacturing performance since 2022, signaling positive prospects. The country's manufacturing sector is approaching the end of a three-year period of contraction.

24 June
Germany’s manufacturing and private sectors grow first time since 2022
EU private sector PMI barely rose in June amid global geopolitical uncertainty

Business activity in the eurozone’s private sector showed almost no growth in June. Unpredictable US trade policies and global geopolitical tensions are preventing companies from formulating clear forward strategies, Bloomberg reports.

24 June
EU private sector PMI barely rose in June amid global geopolitical uncertainty
European Union. CFTC EUR speculative positions. The value of the indicator has increased from 93K to 101.6K

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.

23 June
Capital Economics forecasts modest rise in Germany's inflation following fiscal stimulus

Capital Economics forecasts that Germany's upcoming fiscal stimulus will have a minor impact on inflation. Despite the country's budget deficit rising from 2.8% of GDP in 2024 to 4% in 2026–2027, price growth is unlikely to exceed the European Central Bank's 2% target significantly.

23 June
Capital Economics forecasts modest rise in Germany's inflation following fiscal stimulus
Bank of America assumes euro might correct to May lows this summer

Analysts at Bank of America Securities keep a bearish stance on the dollar and forecast the euro to reach $1.17 by the end of the year. Still, in the short term, geopolitical tensions create risks for the European currency as well, they believe.

23 June
Bank of America assumes euro might correct to May lows this summer
EU authorities raise EIB lending limit to record €100 billion in 2025

At the end of last week, EU governments decided to raise the European Investment Bank's (EIB) lending limit to €100 billion ($115 billion) for 2025. Additionally, the organization's funding for the region's defense industry may be tripled.

23 June
EU authorities raise EIB lending limit to record €100 billion in 2025
European Union. Manufacturing PMI. The value of the indicator remained at the same level of 49.4

No change of the indicator value may reduce the volatility of the related markets.

23 June

The European currency is one of the world's major monetary units. It has a crucial role to play in the global economy. Market participants constantly need to identify trends and forecast fluctuations in the euro exchange rate in order to make reasonable trading decisions.

Key drivers of the euro are the following:

  • Macroeconomic indicators such as consumer price indices (CPI), estimates of gross domestic product (GDP), and central bank decisions;
  • Political variables such as geopolitical stability and government policies.

Market manipulation by large investors has a significant impact on the exchange rate of the European currency. Their actions can both stabilize and greatly shake the money market. These may include:

  • large injections or withdrawals of currency from the market;
  • change in the general mood among investors, which often depends on economic and political conditions.

Investment activity monitoring can help to understand and predict trends in the movement of the European currency rates.

Forecasting the value of the euro is a challenging task. There are many reasons for this, including geopolitical and economic risks that make foreign exchange markets particularly susceptible to change. Minor political instability or financial crisis in certain countries may have a significant impact on the value of the European currency, emphasizing the need to carefully consider these factors when developing investment strategies.

Successful trading the Eurozone currency requires a comprehensive approach. Analyzing global political and economic circumstances, taking into account the influence of traders, and assessing risks are integral parts of the decision-making process for opening trading positions.