According to Reuters, France and Germany are weighing possible countermeasures against the US if talks with the Trump administration fail to produce an agreement.
23 July
Euro News (EUR)
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No change of the indicator value may reduce the volatility of the related markets.
28 May
Lars Klingbeil: Germany will ramp up domestic investment for economic modernization
FRG will increase domestic investments to 110 billion euro ($124.3 billion) this year as part of efforts to modernize its economy and stimulate growth, said German Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil. The government intends to implement comprehensive structural reforms.
28 May
German Chamber of Commerce and Industry expects GDP to contract by 0.3% this year
The German Chamber of Commerce and Industry expects the country’s economy to contract by 0.3% this year, marking the third consecutive year of recession. Yet, this projection is more optimistic compared to the forecast of a 0.5% decline in GDP released in February.
28 May
German consumer sentiment edges up by June — GfK forecast
According to a GfK survey released Tuesday, German consumer sentiment improved marginally by June, though households maintained a cautious approach to spending. The consumer sentiment index in Germany rose by 0.9 points month-on-month to -19.9, slightly below the forecast by Reuters-polled analysts.
27 May
Inflation in France has eased to its weakest level in over four years, slipping below the European Central Bank's 2% target. According to Bloomberg, this slowdown in price growth strengthens the arguments for further interest rate reductions by the financial regulator.
27 May
Trump’s trade tariffs still pose significant risks to EU — Reuters
The trade conflict poses a serious threat to the EU, Reuters reports. According to Eurostat, the United States was the European Union's top export partner in 2024, accounting for 20.6% of all EU shipments.
27 May
According to the statements by Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), unpredictable trade policies of US President Donald Trump present a "great opportunity" to reinforce the euro positions on the global market.
27 May
On Monday, the euro hit a one-month high against the dollar. This occurred after US President Donald Trump reversed his decision to impose 50% tariffs on EU imports. The American leader gave time to the bloc until July 9 to reach a trade agreement.
26 May
European markets recover as US backs away from EU tariff threat
European markets recovered Monday morning after the United States postponed a threat to impose steep tariffs on the European Union, easing the weekend uncertainty, Reuters reports. The planned 50% tariffs, announced by US President Donald Trump on Friday, were put on hold.
26 May
Moody's raises Italy's rating outlook amid fiscal progress
Moody's upgraded Italy's credit outlook to “positive” on Friday, indicating a possible future rating upgrade. The country remains at Baa3, just one notch above “junk” status. However, improvements in fiscal policy under Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni have bolstered investor confidence.
26 May
The European currency is one of the world's major monetary units. It has a crucial role to play in the global economy. Market participants constantly need to identify trends and forecast fluctuations in the euro exchange rate in order to make reasonable trading decisions.
Key drivers of the euro are the following:
- Macroeconomic indicators such as consumer price indices (CPI), estimates of gross domestic product (GDP), and central bank decisions;
- Political variables such as geopolitical stability and government policies.
Market manipulation by large investors has a significant impact on the exchange rate of the European currency. Their actions can both stabilize and greatly shake the money market. These may include:
- large injections or withdrawals of currency from the market;
- change in the general mood among investors, which often depends on economic and political conditions.
Investment activity monitoring can help to understand and predict trends in the movement of the European currency rates.
Forecasting the value of the euro is a challenging task. There are many reasons for this, including geopolitical and economic risks that make foreign exchange markets particularly susceptible to change. Minor political instability or financial crisis in certain countries may have a significant impact on the value of the European currency, emphasizing the need to carefully consider these factors when developing investment strategies.
Successful trading the Eurozone currency requires a comprehensive approach. Analyzing global political and economic circumstances, taking into account the influence of traders, and assessing risks are integral parts of the decision-making process for opening trading positions.
