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An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.

23 January
German industry showed growth amid possible increase in duties from US

German industrial production showed unexpected growth in May. According to Bloomberg experts, the increase in output was driven by companies' efforts to accelerate shipments to the US ahead of potential higher tariffs.

8 July 2025
German industry showed growth amid possible increase in duties from US
Germany. Germany Trade Balance. The value of the indicator has increased from €15.8B to €18.4B

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.

8 July 2025
European Union. CFTC EUR speculative positions. The value of the indicator has decreased from 111.1K to 107.5K

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of EUR.

7 July 2025
ECB may miss 2% inflation target if euro strengthens — Villeroy de Galhau

The ECB may miss its 2% inflation target following the euro's sharp rally. This warning came from ECB Governing Council member Franсois Villeroy de Galhau. Since January, the euro has strengthened by roughly 14%, sparking concerns among some ECB officials after inflation slowed to 2%.

7 July 2025
ECB may miss 2% inflation target if euro strengthens — Villeroy de Galhau
ECB may delay interest rate cuts until September — Capital Economics

Analysts at Capital Economics say the European Central Bank (ECB) is likely to cut interest rates only in September due to concerns over global trade and the recent rise in the euro.

7 July 2025
ECB may delay interest rate cuts until September — Capital Economics
European Union. Retail Sales (YoY). The value of the indicator has decreased from 2.7% to 1.8%

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of EUR.

7 July 2025
European Union. Retail Sales (MoM). The value of the indicator has decreased from 0.3% to -0.7%

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of EUR.

7 July 2025
ECB’s Makhlouf dismisses idea of euro overtaking dollar in global finance

Gabriel Makhlouf, a member of the European Central Bank's (ECB) Governing Council, says there is no way that the euro could replace the US dollar as the world’s top currency anytime soon.

7 July 2025
ECB’s Makhlouf dismisses idea of euro overtaking dollar in global finance
German inflation may stabilize at higher level — Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank analysis reveals ongoing concerns about the long-term impact of one of Germany's most severe inflationary shocks in recorded history. While experts acknowledge that the peak of rapid, large-scale consumer price growth has passed, they remain cautious about future trends.

7 July 2025
German inflation may stabilize at higher level — Deutsche Bank
The NYT sees Europe's potential to strengthen its position on the global stage

During the recent meeting, European officials discussed ways to enhance the region’s competitiveness relative to both the US and China. The NYT notes the debate centered on how President Trump’s policies have created an opportunity for Europe to strengthen its global position.

4 July 2025
The NYT sees Europe's potential to strengthen its position on the global stage

The European currency is one of the world's major monetary units. It has a crucial role to play in the global economy. Market participants constantly need to identify trends and forecast fluctuations in the euro exchange rate in order to make reasonable trading decisions.

Key drivers of the euro are the following:

  • Macroeconomic indicators such as consumer price indices (CPI), estimates of gross domestic product (GDP), and central bank decisions;
  • Political variables such as geopolitical stability and government policies.

Market manipulation by large investors has a significant impact on the exchange rate of the European currency. Their actions can both stabilize and greatly shake the money market. These may include:

  • large injections or withdrawals of currency from the market;
  • change in the general mood among investors, which often depends on economic and political conditions.

Investment activity monitoring can help to understand and predict trends in the movement of the European currency rates.

Forecasting the value of the euro is a challenging task. There are many reasons for this, including geopolitical and economic risks that make foreign exchange markets particularly susceptible to change. Minor political instability or financial crisis in certain countries may have a significant impact on the value of the European currency, emphasizing the need to carefully consider these factors when developing investment strategies.

Successful trading the Eurozone currency requires a comprehensive approach. Analyzing global political and economic circumstances, taking into account the influence of traders, and assessing risks are integral parts of the decision-making process for opening trading positions.