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An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.

23 January
Declining German factory orders signal persistent trade uncertainty

In May, Germany's factory orders fell by 1.4% compared to the previous month, marking the first decline in four months. The drop was sharper than economists polled by Bloomberg had expected.

4 July 2025
Declining German factory orders signal persistent trade uncertainty
ECB's Elderson highlights climate impact on eurozone economy

Frank Elderson, a member of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) Executive Board, stressed the need to factor in climate change consequences when shaping economic policy. He warned that ignoring environmental risks could trigger serious economic challenges.

4 July 2025
ECB's Elderson highlights climate impact on eurozone economy
ECB officials say euro's appreciation may hurt exports

The single currency’s nearly 14% rise this year has helped curb inflation in the EU. However, further euro appreciation could push consumer prices below the ECB’s 2% target and hurt the competitiveness of export-oriented companies.

4 July 2025
ECB officials say euro's appreciation may hurt exports
European Union. PPI (MoM). The value of the indicator has increased from -2.2% to -0.6%

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.

4 July 2025
European Union. PPI (YoY). The value of the indicator has decreased from 0.7% to 0.3%

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of EUR.

4 July 2025
ECB officials wary of rising global trade uncertainty

In June, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut interest rates for the eighth time in a year. However, officials signal a pause in further monetary easing as EU inflation has reached the target level of 2% and uncertainty about US tariff policy persists.

4 July 2025
ECB officials wary of rising global trade uncertainty
Eurozone services sector returned to moderate growth in June

The eurozone services PMI, compiled by S&P Global, rose from 49.7 in May to 50.5 in June. The composite PMI jumped to 50.6, reaching a three-month high, but still indicating only modest growth, Reuters reports.

4 July 2025
Eurozone services sector returned to moderate growth in June
Investors switch massively from American bonds to European ones — Deutsche Bank

According to strategists at Deutsche Bank AG, investors will increasingly redirect capital flows from US bonds to Europe. This development aligns with the accelerating policy of "de-dollarization." They also predict investors will continue reducing their exposure to the dollar and US assets.

3 July 2025
Investors switch massively from American bonds to European ones — Deutsche Bank
France's Court of Auditors warns of serious negative consequences of nation's budget problems

As head of the French Court of Auditors Pierre Moscovici said on Wednesday, France must get its public finances back on track this year. Otherwise, pressure from financial markets will follow.

3 July 2025
France's Court of Auditors warns of serious negative consequences of nation's budget problems
ECB's Pierre Wunsch advocates maintaining stable monetary conditions in eurozone

Belgian Central Bank Governor Pierre Wunsch suggested that eurozone inflation might remain below the European Central Bank's (ECB) target. He argued that the regulator should take a measured approach to rate cuts due to weak economic growth and inflation risks in the bloc.

3 July 2025
ECB's Pierre Wunsch advocates maintaining stable monetary conditions in eurozone

The European currency is one of the world's major monetary units. It has a crucial role to play in the global economy. Market participants constantly need to identify trends and forecast fluctuations in the euro exchange rate in order to make reasonable trading decisions.

Key drivers of the euro are the following:

  • Macroeconomic indicators such as consumer price indices (CPI), estimates of gross domestic product (GDP), and central bank decisions;
  • Political variables such as geopolitical stability and government policies.

Market manipulation by large investors has a significant impact on the exchange rate of the European currency. Their actions can both stabilize and greatly shake the money market. These may include:

  • large injections or withdrawals of currency from the market;
  • change in the general mood among investors, which often depends on economic and political conditions.

Investment activity monitoring can help to understand and predict trends in the movement of the European currency rates.

Forecasting the value of the euro is a challenging task. There are many reasons for this, including geopolitical and economic risks that make foreign exchange markets particularly susceptible to change. Minor political instability or financial crisis in certain countries may have a significant impact on the value of the European currency, emphasizing the need to carefully consider these factors when developing investment strategies.

Successful trading the Eurozone currency requires a comprehensive approach. Analyzing global political and economic circumstances, taking into account the influence of traders, and assessing risks are integral parts of the decision-making process for opening trading positions.