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EU prepares strong response to possible 30% US tariffs — Reuters

According to Reuters, France and Germany are weighing possible countermeasures against the US if talks with the Trump administration fail to produce an agreement.

23 July
Kazaks: realization of EU baseline scenario to curb inflation may accelerate completion of rate cuts

European Central Bank Governing Council member Martins Kazaks stated that interest rate cuts are nearing their conclusion, provided the baseline scenario of inflation stabilizing at 2% materializes in coming months.

21 May
Kazaks: realization of EU baseline scenario to curb inflation may accelerate completion of rate cuts
Morgan Stanley upgrades US stocks rating and expects S&P 500 to rise by Q2 of 2026

Morgan Stanley upgraded its rating on US stocks to “overweight”, citing a combination of solid earnings with supportive monetary policy and a weakening dollar.

21 May
Morgan Stanley upgrades US stocks rating and expects S&P 500 to rise by Q2 of 2026
Dollar weakens amid Trump's tax bill setbacks and G7 talks

On Wednesday, May 21, the US dollar fell against major currencies as President Donald Trump failed to convince Republicans to support his tax bill.

21 May
Dollar weakens amid Trump's tax bill setbacks and G7 talks
Morgan Stanley joins JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs in raising outlook for European banks

Morgan Stanley analysts have upgraded the outlook for European banks. The experts believe EU institutions still have upside potential, even after rallying to a 17-year high. JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. have also expressed optimism about the region’s financial sector.

21 May
Morgan Stanley joins JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs in raising outlook for European banks
ECB’s Wunsch says additional support for economy by rate cutting is needed

According to statements by Pierre Wunsch, member of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank (ECB), the eurozone economy may need to set interest rates at a “moderately supportive” level.

21 May
ECB’s Wunsch says additional support for economy by rate cutting is needed
ECB’s Knot does not exclude additional interest rate cut in June

According to Klaas Knot, member of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank (ECB), an additional reduction in borrowing costs is possible as early as next month. However, he noted that it is still “too early” to make decisions without fresh quarterly forecasts.

21 May
ECB’s Knot does not exclude additional interest rate cut in June
Finance minister Klingbeil pledged to promote investment in Germany

On Tuesday, German Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil promised to take swift measures to stimulate investment in the face of global trade uncertainty.

21 May
Finance minister Klingbeil pledged to promote investment in Germany
ECB officials urge region's financial institutions to prepare for potential tariff shocks

The European Central Bank (ECB) is urging the region's financial institutions to take proactive measures to mitigate the negative effects of the trade standoff with the United States, according to a note from the regulator's economists published on Tuesday.

20 May
ECB officials urge region's financial institutions to prepare for potential tariff shocks
Eurozone economic growth to weaken this year and next — Standard Chartered forecast

Christopher Graham of Standard Chartered reports that while the eurozone economy showed strong growth in Q1 2025, this does not guarantee sustained performance through the year. Economic momentum is weakening, recession risks are rising.

20 May
Eurozone economic growth to weaken this year and next — Standard Chartered forecast
ECB's Muller urges caution on further rate cuts

According to Governing Council member Madis Muller, the European Central Bank (ECB) should exercise caution regarding additional interest rate cuts, as the eurozone economy currently shows no clear need for further stimulus.

20 May
ECB's Muller urges caution on further rate cuts

The European currency is one of the world's major monetary units. It has a crucial role to play in the global economy. Market participants constantly need to identify trends and forecast fluctuations in the euro exchange rate in order to make reasonable trading decisions.

Key drivers of the euro are the following:

  • Macroeconomic indicators such as consumer price indices (CPI), estimates of gross domestic product (GDP), and central bank decisions;
  • Political variables such as geopolitical stability and government policies.

Market manipulation by large investors has a significant impact on the exchange rate of the European currency. Their actions can both stabilize and greatly shake the money market. These may include:

  • large injections or withdrawals of currency from the market;
  • change in the general mood among investors, which often depends on economic and political conditions.

Investment activity monitoring can help to understand and predict trends in the movement of the European currency rates.

Forecasting the value of the euro is a challenging task. There are many reasons for this, including geopolitical and economic risks that make foreign exchange markets particularly susceptible to change. Minor political instability or financial crisis in certain countries may have a significant impact on the value of the European currency, emphasizing the need to carefully consider these factors when developing investment strategies.

Successful trading the Eurozone currency requires a comprehensive approach. Analyzing global political and economic circumstances, taking into account the influence of traders, and assessing risks are integral parts of the decision-making process for opening trading positions.