Euro News (EUR)

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EU prepares strong response to possible 30% US tariffs — Reuters

According to Reuters, France and Germany are weighing possible countermeasures against the US if talks with the Trump administration fail to produce an agreement.

23 July
Germany. German CPI (MoM). The value of the indicator has increased from 0.3% to 0.4%

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.

30 April
EU GDP growth for Q1 2025 exceeded Bloomberg analysts' expectations

From January to March 2025, the economy of the European Union (EU) rose by 0.4%, exceeding both the results for the previous quarters and analysts' expectations. Experts surveyed by Bloomberg had forecasted the EU GDP to grow by only 0.2%.

30 April
EU GDP growth for Q1 2025 exceeded Bloomberg analysts' expectations
German economy avoids recession as unemployment rises to ten-year high

The German economy grew in the first quarter of 2025, avoiding a recession. However, the country's unemployment rate reached a ten-year high.

30 April
German economy avoids recession as unemployment rises to ten-year high
Spanish economy posts growth in first quarter of 2025

In the first three months of 2025, Spain's GDP rose 0.6% from the previous quarter. At the same time, inflation accelerated by only 2.2% year-on-year, slightly above the European Central Bank's target level of 2%.

30 April
Spanish economy posts growth in first quarter of 2025
ECB's Cipollone sees disinflationary implications of US tariffs for Europe in near term

According to Piero Cipollone, a member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank (ECB), US trade duties could curb inflation in the eurozone in the near term by slowing the global economy.

30 April
ECB's Cipollone sees disinflationary implications of US tariffs for Europe in near term
Investors are seeking new market niches to offset European exposure

Investors who shifted capital from the US to Europe now face a strengthening euro, which threatens European exports. Ironically, the once-stable European economic zone has created challenges similar to those in US markets.

30 April
Investors are seeking new market niches to offset European exposure
European Union. GDP (YoY). The value of the indicator remained at the same level of 1.2%

No change of the indicator value may reduce the volatility of the related markets.

30 April
European Union. GDP (QoQ). The value of the indicator has increased from 0.2% to 0.4%

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.

30 April
Germany. German GDP (QoQ). The value of the indicator has increased from -0.2% to 0.2%

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.

30 April
Germany. German Unemployment Rate. The value of the indicator remained at the same level of 6.3%

No change of the indicator value may reduce the volatility of the related markets.

30 April

The European currency is one of the world's major monetary units. It has a crucial role to play in the global economy. Market participants constantly need to identify trends and forecast fluctuations in the euro exchange rate in order to make reasonable trading decisions.

Key drivers of the euro are the following:

  • Macroeconomic indicators such as consumer price indices (CPI), estimates of gross domestic product (GDP), and central bank decisions;
  • Political variables such as geopolitical stability and government policies.

Market manipulation by large investors has a significant impact on the exchange rate of the European currency. Their actions can both stabilize and greatly shake the money market. These may include:

  • large injections or withdrawals of currency from the market;
  • change in the general mood among investors, which often depends on economic and political conditions.

Investment activity monitoring can help to understand and predict trends in the movement of the European currency rates.

Forecasting the value of the euro is a challenging task. There are many reasons for this, including geopolitical and economic risks that make foreign exchange markets particularly susceptible to change. Minor political instability or financial crisis in certain countries may have a significant impact on the value of the European currency, emphasizing the need to carefully consider these factors when developing investment strategies.

Successful trading the Eurozone currency requires a comprehensive approach. Analyzing global political and economic circumstances, taking into account the influence of traders, and assessing risks are integral parts of the decision-making process for opening trading positions.