Euro News (EUR)

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One in three German companies plans job cuts in 2025

More than a third of German companies plan to slash jobs in 2025, according to Reuters experts who reviewed a study by the German Economic Institute (IW).

18 April
European Union. CFTC EUR speculative positions. The value of the indicator has decreased from 65.5K to 51.8K

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of EUR.

4 April
ECB considers cutting rates or taking a pause at next meeting — Bloomberg

European Central Bank (ECB) officials are considering cutting rates or holding them steady at the April 17 meeting. Lowering borrowing costs is likely to bring the deposit rate to 2.25%.

4 April
ECB considers cutting rates or taking a pause at next meeting — Bloomberg
Trump’s tariffs to severely hit German industry — Reuters

Sweeping import tariffs announced by US President Donald Trump are expected to deal a massive blow to German industry. The IW research institute expects Germany’s economy to be dealt a €200 billion ($222 billion) blow during Donald Trump’s term.

4 April
Trump’s tariffs to severely hit German industry — Reuters
France's call to abandon investments in US could hit EU economy

France's President Emmanuel Macron has reacted to Donald Trump's decision to impose restrictive tariffs on the European Union by calling on companies in the trading bloc to stop investing in the United States.

4 April
France's call to abandon investments in US could hit EU economy
Bundesbank’s Nagel: US tariffs threaten to undermine EU progress on inflation control

Nagel warned that new trade barriers could undermine the European Central Bank's (ECB) progress in controlling inflation. These protectionist measures may also compel the ECB to reassess its monetary policy stance.

3 April
Bundesbank’s Nagel: US tariffs threaten to undermine EU progress on inflation control
Minister of Labor says France's economic growth forecast for 2025 to be lowered

France's Minister of Labor Astrid Panosyan-Bouvet announced a downward revision of the country's economic growth forecast for 2025 on Wednesday during a broadcast on France 2 TV channel. The GDP growth figure is likely to reach 0.7%.

3 April
Minister of Labor says France's economic growth forecast for 2025 to be lowered
ECB’s Schnabel revives discussion about joint debt

Isabel Schnabel, European Central Bank Executive Board member, believes joint debt can bolster the euro’s role in the global economy, as Trump's tariff policy could have a negative impact on the US economy.

3 April
ECB’s Schnabel revives discussion about joint debt
European Union. PPI (YoY). The value of the indicator has increased from 1.7% to 3%

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.

3 April
European Union. PPI (MoM). The value of the indicator has decreased from 0.7% to 0.2%

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of EUR.

3 April
European Union. Markit Composite PMI. The value of the indicator has increased from 50.4 to 50.9

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.

3 April

The European currency is one of the world's major monetary units. It has a crucial role to play in the global economy. Market participants constantly need to identify trends and forecast fluctuations in the euro exchange rate in order to make reasonable trading decisions.

Key drivers of the euro are the following:

  • Macroeconomic indicators such as consumer price indices (CPI), estimates of gross domestic product (GDP), and central bank decisions;
  • Political variables such as geopolitical stability and government policies.

Market manipulation by large investors has a significant impact on the exchange rate of the European currency. Their actions can both stabilize and greatly shake the money market. These may include:

  • large injections or withdrawals of currency from the market;
  • change in the general mood among investors, which often depends on economic and political conditions.

Investment activity monitoring can help to understand and predict trends in the movement of the European currency rates.

Forecasting the value of the euro is a challenging task. There are many reasons for this, including geopolitical and economic risks that make foreign exchange markets particularly susceptible to change. Minor political instability or financial crisis in certain countries may have a significant impact on the value of the European currency, emphasizing the need to carefully consider these factors when developing investment strategies.

Successful trading the Eurozone currency requires a comprehensive approach. Analyzing global political and economic circumstances, taking into account the influence of traders, and assessing risks are integral parts of the decision-making process for opening trading positions.