Euro News (EUR)

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No change of the indicator value may reduce the volatility of the related markets.

5 September
Confindustria warns that US tariffs could cost Italy up to 0.8% of GDP

The US president's decision to impose 30% tariffs on goods from the European Union could shrink Italy's GDP by 0.8% by 2027, according to a report by Confindustria's research unit.

22 July
Confindustria warns that US tariffs could cost Italy up to 0.8% of GDP
Eurozone businesses stay upbeat despite profit squeeze — ECB survey

According to the latest European Central Bank (ECB) survey, European companies remain confident about future growth prospects, even as trade tensions weigh on profitability. Although corporate earnings have declined, businesses continue to maintain robust hiring levels.

21 July
Eurozone businesses stay upbeat despite profit squeeze — ECB survey
Bloomberg reports growing investor interest in euro bonds amid dollar decline

The dollar continues to cause turmoil in the markets, increasing the attractiveness of euro bonds. Since the beginning of the year, the dollar index has lost about 8%. Donald Trump's import tariffs and his jabs at the Federal Reserve are undermining trader confidence in the US currency.

21 July
Bloomberg reports growing investor interest in euro bonds amid dollar decline
Trump's EU tariffs could boost UK manufacturing — CNBC

The UK may regain some of its former prominence as a European manufacturing hub if Donald Trump implements proposed 30% tariffs. Alex Altmann of Lubbock Fine suggests the UK's available production capacity could attract EU-based companies looking to avoid steep US tariffs.

21 July
Trump's EU tariffs could boost UK manufacturing — CNBC
EU to prepare countermeasures amid US trade stance hardening — Bloomberg

Bloomberg reports that EU officials will meet this week to discuss a plan in case negotiations with US President Donald Trump collapse. However, most member states still hope to strike a deal with Washington by the end of the month.

21 July
EU to prepare countermeasures amid US trade stance hardening — Bloomberg
ECB to hold rates steady amid trade tensions — Erste Group Forecast

Erste Group analysts anticipate the European Central Bank (ECB) will maintain current interest rates at its July 24 meeting, following June's 25 basis-point cut that lowered the deposit rate to 2%.

21 July
ECB to hold rates steady amid trade tensions — Erste Group Forecast
European Union. CFTC EUR speculative positions. The value of the indicator has increased from 120.6K to 128.2K

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.

18 July
US businesses use option strategies to shield euro revenues from rising dollar

The options market shows investor expectations for currency movements. Right now, signals suggest fading confidence in further dollar weakness. Some companies are buying up euro put options that will appreciate if the euro weakens, to hedge against a potential decline in the European currency.

18 July
US businesses use option strategies to shield euro revenues from rising dollar
ING: French budget deficit threatens euro stability and debt markets

Renewed concerns about the growth of France's public budget deficit are affecting financial stability and weakening interest in the euro. ING Groep NV strategists predict that the growing budget deficit could reduce demand for the European currency.

18 July
ING: French budget deficit threatens euro stability and debt markets
European Union. Current Account. The value of the indicator has increased from 18.6B to 32.3B

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.

18 July

The European currency is one of the world's major monetary units. It has a crucial role to play in the global economy. Market participants constantly need to identify trends and forecast fluctuations in the euro exchange rate in order to make reasonable trading decisions.

Key drivers of the euro are the following:

  • Macroeconomic indicators such as consumer price indices (CPI), estimates of gross domestic product (GDP), and central bank decisions;
  • Political variables such as geopolitical stability and government policies.

Market manipulation by large investors has a significant impact on the exchange rate of the European currency. Their actions can both stabilize and greatly shake the money market. These may include:

  • large injections or withdrawals of currency from the market;
  • change in the general mood among investors, which often depends on economic and political conditions.

Investment activity monitoring can help to understand and predict trends in the movement of the European currency rates.

Forecasting the value of the euro is a challenging task. There are many reasons for this, including geopolitical and economic risks that make foreign exchange markets particularly susceptible to change. Minor political instability or financial crisis in certain countries may have a significant impact on the value of the European currency, emphasizing the need to carefully consider these factors when developing investment strategies.

Successful trading the Eurozone currency requires a comprehensive approach. Analyzing global political and economic circumstances, taking into account the influence of traders, and assessing risks are integral parts of the decision-making process for opening trading positions.