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One in three German companies plans job cuts in 2025

More than a third of German companies plan to slash jobs in 2025, according to Reuters experts who reviewed a study by the German Economic Institute (IW).

18 April
Germany. German Composite PMI. The value of the indicator has increased from 50.9 to 51.3

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.

3 April
Head of Bank of France: Trump tariffs won't halt EU’s inflation slowdown

According to Francois Villeroy de Galhau, a member of the ECB Governing Council, the new US tariffs are unlikely to disrupt the ongoing slowdown in EU inflation. The official added that the decline in the CPI strengthens the case for further monetary policy easing by the ECB.

3 April
Head of Bank of France: Trump tariffs won't halt EU’s inflation slowdown
EU set to respond with countermeasures to US 20% tariffs

Yesterday, US President Donald Trump announced the imposition of 20% tariffs on imports from the European Union. In response, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said the EU is ready to take countermeasures to protect its trade interests and businesses in the region.

3 April
EU set to respond with countermeasures to US 20% tariffs
Association of German Banks expects country’s economy to recover slowly

The Association of German Banks expects the country’s economy to recover very slowly after its prolonged period of weakness. Germany’s GDP is forecast to rise by only 0.2%, down from the previous projection of 0.7% growth.

2 April
Association of German Banks expects country’s economy to recover slowly
Christine Lagarde says AI poses no major threat to Europe's labor market

On Tuesday, European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde said that innovations in artificial intelligence are crucial to boosting productivity in Europe. The rapid development of AI technologies won't lead to an employment catastrophe in the region, she stated.

2 April
Christine Lagarde says AI poses no major threat to Europe's labor market
Bloomberg: traders expect euro to rise despite trade tensions

Traders are betting that the euro will strengthen over the next month, even with looming tariffs from US President Donald Trump, Bloomberg reports. Risk reversals, a key market indicator, showed on Monday that investors were the most optimistic about the euro since late 2020.

2 April
Bloomberg: traders expect euro to rise despite trade tensions
Eurozone inflation falls to 2.2% in March as US trade restrictions loom

Eurozone inflation fell to 2.2% year-on-year in March, moving closer to the European Central Bank's (ECB) 2% target. Such a result was made possible by a decline in services prices and a drop in the core consumer price index, which fell to 2.4% from 2.6% in February.

1 April
Eurozone inflation falls to 2.2% in March as US trade restrictions loom
European retail distress hits decade highs

The retail industry in Europe faces a record number of challenges in a decade, driven by declining consumer confidence, according to a study by Weil, Gotshal & Manges. The research highlights a significant drop in investment attractiveness and worsening liquidity among companies in the region.

1 April
European retail distress hits decade highs
Austria's finance minister admitted inevitability of exceeding budget deficit limit

Austria's budget deficit reached 4.7% of GDP last year, significantly exceeding the 3% limit set by the European Union. As Bloomberg notes, the country is facing serious economic difficulties, having to revise its fiscal policy.

1 April
Austria's finance minister admitted inevitability of exceeding budget deficit limit
European Union. CPI (MoM). The value of the indicator has increased from 0.4% to 0.6%

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.

1 April

The European currency is one of the world's major monetary units. It has a crucial role to play in the global economy. Market participants constantly need to identify trends and forecast fluctuations in the euro exchange rate in order to make reasonable trading decisions.

Key drivers of the euro are the following:

  • Macroeconomic indicators such as consumer price indices (CPI), estimates of gross domestic product (GDP), and central bank decisions;
  • Political variables such as geopolitical stability and government policies.

Market manipulation by large investors has a significant impact on the exchange rate of the European currency. Their actions can both stabilize and greatly shake the money market. These may include:

  • large injections or withdrawals of currency from the market;
  • change in the general mood among investors, which often depends on economic and political conditions.

Investment activity monitoring can help to understand and predict trends in the movement of the European currency rates.

Forecasting the value of the euro is a challenging task. There are many reasons for this, including geopolitical and economic risks that make foreign exchange markets particularly susceptible to change. Minor political instability or financial crisis in certain countries may have a significant impact on the value of the European currency, emphasizing the need to carefully consider these factors when developing investment strategies.

Successful trading the Eurozone currency requires a comprehensive approach. Analyzing global political and economic circumstances, taking into account the influence of traders, and assessing risks are integral parts of the decision-making process for opening trading positions.