Euro News (EUR)

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No change of the indicator value may reduce the volatility of the related markets.

5 September
Eurozone economy holds steady despite US tariff threat — Reuters poll

A Reuters survey indicates the eurozone economy remains resilient despite potential US tariffs. While the threat of 30% duties on EU goods poses risks, economists expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to keep rates unchanged at 2.0% at its July 24 meeting.

18 July
Eurozone economy holds steady despite US tariff threat — Reuters poll
EU proposes joint borrowing to finance crisis instrument

The European Commission has proposed creating an anti-crisis tool with a budget of 400 billion euros ($464.76 billion), financed through joint borrowing. This new budgetary instrument will provide loans to countries to help them respond more quickly to adverse events.

18 July
EU proposes joint borrowing to finance crisis instrument
Trump's plan to impose 30% tariffs on EU imports could slow Germany's GDP growth — IMK

Starting in August, the US plans to impose 30% tariffs on imports from the EU, which could slow Germany's economic growth by 0.25 percentage points this year and next. The IMK institute made this forecast, pointing to the negative impact of trade tensions on Germany's economy.

17 July
Trump's plan to impose 30% tariffs on EU imports could slow Germany's GDP growth — IMK
European Commission proposes to increase EU budget to 2 trillion euros

On Wednesday, the European Commission proposed an EU budget of 2 trillion euros ($2.31 trillion) for 2028–2034. The new draft is focused on boosting economic competitiveness and defense.

17 July
European Commission proposes to increase EU budget to 2 trillion euros
European Union. CPI (MoM). The value of the indicator remained at the same level of 0.3%

No change of the indicator value may reduce the volatility of the related markets.

17 July
European Union. CPI (YoY). The value of the indicator remained at the same level of 2%

No change of the indicator value may reduce the volatility of the related markets.

17 July
Bundesbank data points to German economic stagnation in Q2

According to the Bundesbank, Germany's economy likely showed no growth in the second quarter after a surprisingly strong expansion at the start of the year. In the first quarter of 2025, the country's GDP grew by 0.4%.

17 July
Bundesbank data points to German economic stagnation in Q2
Dollar assets hedging could push euro to 1.30 — Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley strategists predict that the euro could rise to 1.30 per dollar as European investors seek to hedge nearly $4 trillion in US assets. Doubts about the dollar's status as a safe-haven asset are prompting investors to protect themselves from further volatility.

17 July
Dollar assets hedging could push euro to 1.30 — Morgan Stanley
EU faces mounting pressure from US tariffs — Bloomberg

Bloomberg analysts warn that escalating US import tariffs could push the European Union toward recession. Proposed 30% duties on EU goods would further strain bloc economies already struggling with France's growing budget deficit and Germany's economic stagnation.

16 July
EU faces mounting pressure from US tariffs — Bloomberg
European Union. Trade Balance. The value of the indicator has increased from 11.1B to 16.2B

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.

16 July

The European currency is one of the world's major monetary units. It has a crucial role to play in the global economy. Market participants constantly need to identify trends and forecast fluctuations in the euro exchange rate in order to make reasonable trading decisions.

Key drivers of the euro are the following:

  • Macroeconomic indicators such as consumer price indices (CPI), estimates of gross domestic product (GDP), and central bank decisions;
  • Political variables such as geopolitical stability and government policies.

Market manipulation by large investors has a significant impact on the exchange rate of the European currency. Their actions can both stabilize and greatly shake the money market. These may include:

  • large injections or withdrawals of currency from the market;
  • change in the general mood among investors, which often depends on economic and political conditions.

Investment activity monitoring can help to understand and predict trends in the movement of the European currency rates.

Forecasting the value of the euro is a challenging task. There are many reasons for this, including geopolitical and economic risks that make foreign exchange markets particularly susceptible to change. Minor political instability or financial crisis in certain countries may have a significant impact on the value of the European currency, emphasizing the need to carefully consider these factors when developing investment strategies.

Successful trading the Eurozone currency requires a comprehensive approach. Analyzing global political and economic circumstances, taking into account the influence of traders, and assessing risks are integral parts of the decision-making process for opening trading positions.