4 April 2025 | Other

Canada's trade balance turned negative before US tariffs were imposed

Canada's trade balance turned negative before US tariffs were imposed

Canada saw a significant drop in exports in February, resulting in a trade deficit of 1.5 billion Canadian dollars (about $1.065 billion). This stands in stark contrast to January's surplus of 3.1 billion Canadian dollars ($2.201 billion), as noted by Bloomberg.

CIBC economist Katherine Judge reported that the latest downturn in indicators is largely due to the impending US tariffs. Energy exports, in particular, fell for the first time since September, in line with decreasing oil and gas prices.

Benjamin Reitzes from the Bank of Montreal warned that trade data may continue to be volatile. He linked future fluctuations to companies adapting to new business conditions. In response to the decline in exports, Canada has increased its imports of machinery, equipment, industrial goods, and metals to offset the economic losses.

February witnessed a 0.8% uptick in imports, with their volume remaining largely unchanged, in contrast to a 5% fall in exports.

Period: 15.10.2026 Expectation: 1000 pips
Selling SPX down to $7,490
Today at 05:18 AM 18
Brent sell
Period: 15.10.2026 Expectation: 800 pips
Brent crude sell-off targets $95.80
Today at 05:18 AM 17
Gold sell
Period: 31.10.2026 Expectation: 18000 pips
Go short on gold upon breaking $4,300
Yesterday at 04:16 AM 35
Period: 11.10.2026 Expectation: 3200 pips
Going short on AUDUSD ahead of US Fed meeting
11 September 2026 64
Period: 30.09.2026 Expectation: 2000 pips
SPX sell-off targets $7,400
11 September 2026 50
Period: 25.09.2026 Expectation: 2800 pips
Buying Tesla stock with $390 in view
11 September 2026 75
Go to forecasts