4 April 2025 | Other

Canada's trade balance turned negative before US tariffs were imposed

Canada's trade balance turned negative before US tariffs were imposed

Canada saw a significant drop in exports in February, resulting in a trade deficit of 1.5 billion Canadian dollars (about $1.065 billion). This stands in stark contrast to January's surplus of 3.1 billion Canadian dollars ($2.201 billion), as noted by Bloomberg.

CIBC economist Katherine Judge reported that the latest downturn in indicators is largely due to the impending US tariffs. Energy exports, in particular, fell for the first time since September, in line with decreasing oil and gas prices.

Benjamin Reitzes from the Bank of Montreal warned that trade data may continue to be volatile. He linked future fluctuations to companies adapting to new business conditions. In response to the decline in exports, Canada has increased its imports of machinery, equipment, industrial goods, and metals to offset the economic losses.

February witnessed a 0.8% uptick in imports, with their volume remaining largely unchanged, in contrast to a 5% fall in exports.

Period: 24.07.2026 Expectation: 1550 pips
Selling EURUSD on relentless dollar rally
Today at 09:55 AM 15
Period: 01.07.2026 Expectation: 1100 pips
NVIDIA shares set for rebound after breaking $200
Today at 09:43 AM 13
Period: 24.07.2026 Expectation: 180 pips
Selling natural gas down to $3.00
Today at 06:57 AM 15
Period: 01.07.2026 Expectation: 1210 pips
USDCAD may correct amid USMCA negotiations
Today at 06:44 AM 13
Period: 30.06.2026 Expectation: 1000 pips
Selling AUDUSD during corrective rebound to 0.69900
Yesterday at 10:29 AM 43
Brent sell
Period: 30.06.2026 Expectation: 650 pips
Go short on Brent crude as Strait of Hormuz reopens
Yesterday at 09:26 AM 30
Go to forecasts