18 April | Other

CPI acceleration intensifies pressure on BOJ’s next move

CPI acceleration intensifies pressure on BOJ’s next move

Reuters reports that Japan’s inflation accelerated in March. The core consumer price index, which excludes fresh food but includes energy costs, increased 3.2% from a year earlier. This figure matched forecasts and showed an increase from 3% in February. Core inflation has consistently exceeded the Bank of Japan's 2% target for three straight years.

According to the agency, this persistent inflation trend complicates the financial regulator’s policy decisions. The Bank of Japan faces the challenge of balancing rising prices against economic risks linked to US tariffs. At its April 30–May 1 meeting, the central bank is expected to keep rates steady at 0.5%, likely postponing any rate hikes due to global trade uncertainties.

Japan's Finance Minister Kato and BOJ Governor Ueda have expressed concern over the impact of US tariffs on Japan’s economic health. Although some planned duties have been delayed by 90 days, others remain in effect. These import restrictions, combined with stubbornly high inflation, pose challenges for Japan’s economy and complicate the outlook for monetary policy.

Elena Dorokhina MarketCheese
Brent sell
Period: 11.07.2025 Expectation: 400 pips
Brent falls ahead of OPEC+ decisions
Yesterday at 10:05 AM 27
Period: 18.07.2025 Expectation: 900 pips
AUDCAD is likely to keep pulling back from its monthly high
Yesterday at 08:08 AM 26
Period: 10.07.2025 Expectation: 1200 pips
Selling USDJPY during rebound with 142.430 target
03 July 2025 51
Period: 11.07.2025 Expectation: 220 pips
Heatwaves across Europe and US support gas price recovery from recent lows
03 July 2025 138
Period: 08.07.2025 Expectation: 1500 pips
EURUSD rally faces potential correction toward 1.165
02 July 2025 77
Period: 09.07.2025 Expectation: 1400 pips
USDCAD declines amid US dollar weakness and improving Canadian trade prospects
02 July 2025 53
Go to forecasts