29 April | Oil

Oil falls on lower demand outlook

Oil falls on lower demand outlook

Oil slipped during early Asian trading on Tuesday. Investors cut their crude demand outlook due to the ongoing trade confrontation between the US and China, the world’s leading economies, Reuters reports. 

A majority of economists polled by the news agency believe US President Donald Trump’s import tariffs have created a risk of the global economy slipping into a recession in 2025.

China, facing the highest duties, has imposed retaliatory tariffs on imports of US goods, adding to trade tensions between the world’s two biggest oil consuming countries. That has forced analysts to sharply lower their crude demand outlook, Reuters says. 

Barclays has also cut its Brent price forecast by $4 to $70 per barrel. Moreover, the company predicts an oil supply surplus of 1 million barrels per day this year due to increased production by the OPEC+ group.

Meanwhile, according to a preliminary Reuters survey of analysts, US crude inventories rose by 500,000 barrels in the week to April 15.

Elena Berseneva MarketCheese
Brent sell
Period: 11.07.2025 Expectation: 400 pips
Brent falls ahead of OPEC+ decisions
Yesterday at 10:05 AM 28
Period: 18.07.2025 Expectation: 900 pips
AUDCAD is likely to keep pulling back from its monthly high
Yesterday at 08:08 AM 27
Period: 10.07.2025 Expectation: 1200 pips
Selling USDJPY during rebound with 142.430 target
03 July 2025 52
Period: 11.07.2025 Expectation: 220 pips
Heatwaves across Europe and US support gas price recovery from recent lows
03 July 2025 141
Period: 08.07.2025 Expectation: 1500 pips
EURUSD rally faces potential correction toward 1.165
02 July 2025 77
Period: 09.07.2025 Expectation: 1400 pips
USDCAD declines amid US dollar weakness and improving Canadian trade prospects
02 July 2025 53
Go to forecasts