20 May | Other | Dollar

Dollar keeps trading in narrow range ahead of congressional debate on tax bill

Dollar keeps trading in narrow range ahead of congressional debate on tax bill

On Tuesday, the dollar is holding in a narrow range. Pressure on the currency is created by the discussion in the US regarding a new bill that could increase the country's budget deficit.

Earlier, Moody's agency stripped the US of its top credit rating, citing concerns about the growing national debt of $36.2 trillion. According to analysts quoted by Reuters, Trump's new tax bill will increase the national debt by up to $5 trillion.

As noted by Rodrigo Catril of National Australia Bank, market participants are still highly cautious about the lack of fiscal austerity measures in the US. In his opinion, this could be a driver for dollar weakness in the near future, as the market will demand a higher premium for lending money to the US.

Meanwhile, the Australian dollar was the only currency from the main basket that showed a pronounced change in rate against the US dollar. Against the background of the rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia by 0.25%, the local currency weakened by 0.5% against the US one. 

Now the attention of market participants is focused on the outcome of the tax bill discussions in the United States.

Elena Dorokhina MarketCheese
Brent sell
Period: 11.07.2025 Expectation: 400 pips
Brent falls ahead of OPEC+ decisions
04 July 2025 33
Period: 18.07.2025 Expectation: 900 pips
AUDCAD is likely to keep pulling back from its monthly high
04 July 2025 32
Period: 10.07.2025 Expectation: 1200 pips
Selling USDJPY during rebound with 142.430 target
03 July 2025 56
Period: 11.07.2025 Expectation: 220 pips
Heatwaves across Europe and US support gas price recovery from recent lows
03 July 2025 153
Period: 08.07.2025 Expectation: 1500 pips
EURUSD rally faces potential correction toward 1.165
02 July 2025 80
Period: 09.07.2025 Expectation: 1400 pips
USDCAD declines amid US dollar weakness and improving Canadian trade prospects
02 July 2025 56
Go to forecasts