20 May 2025 | Other | Dollar

Dollar keeps trading in narrow range ahead of congressional debate on tax bill

Dollar keeps trading in narrow range ahead of congressional debate on tax bill

On Tuesday, the dollar is holding in a narrow range. Pressure on the currency is created by the discussion in the US regarding a new bill that could increase the country's budget deficit.

Earlier, Moody's agency stripped the US of its top credit rating, citing concerns about the growing national debt of $36.2 trillion. According to analysts quoted by Reuters, Trump's new tax bill will increase the national debt by up to $5 trillion.

As noted by Rodrigo Catril of National Australia Bank, market participants are still highly cautious about the lack of fiscal austerity measures in the US. In his opinion, this could be a driver for dollar weakness in the near future, as the market will demand a higher premium for lending money to the US.

Meanwhile, the Australian dollar was the only currency from the main basket that showed a pronounced change in rate against the US dollar. Against the background of the rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia by 0.25%, the local currency weakened by 0.5% against the US one. 

Now the attention of market participants is focused on the outcome of the tax bill discussions in the United States.

Elena Dorokhina MarketCheese
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