16 June | Other

UK short-term inflation expectations fell to 3.2% in May

UK short-term inflation expectations fell to 3.2% in May

The British population's expectations regarding medium-term inflation remained at their highest level in recent years. Meanwhile, short-term forecasts decreased, according to the Bank of England's survey published ahead of its interest rate decision this week.

The regulator closely examines inflation expectations among the population and investors, Reuters reports. This allows the Bank of England to assess whether UK citizens will seek wage increases and determine their willingness to purchase goods and services at higher prices.

According to the May survey, inflation expectations for the five-year period remained at 3.6%, unchanged from February's figure, which was the highest since November 2019.

Forecasts for the rate of price growth in one to two years remained at 3.2%, the highest since November 2022. Meanwhile, the population's estimated one-year inflation rate decreased from 3.4% to 3.2%.

UK consumer prices rose 3.5% in April, up from 2.6% in March.

Anton Volkov MarketCheese
Period: 21.11.2025 Expectation: 1078 pips
GBPUSD falls as bullish pressure fades and budget risks loom
14 November 2025 30
Brent sell
Period: 28.11.2025 Expectation: 300 pips
Brent crude capped by $65–$66 resistance
14 November 2025 37
Period: 21.11.2025 Expectation: 660 pips
AUDCAD may enter short-term correction
14 November 2025 35
Period: 21.11.2025 Expectation: 800 pips
Selling SPX as risk-off mood kicks in
14 November 2025 28
Period: 20.11.2025 Expectation: 280 pips
Fading bullish momentum is good reason to sell natural gas
13 November 2025 57
Period: 31.12.2025 Expectation: 800 pips
USDCAD with 1.4090 play is worth buying
13 November 2025 63
Go to forecasts