16 June 2025 | Other

UK short-term inflation expectations fell to 3.2% in May

UK short-term inflation expectations fell to 3.2% in May

The British population's expectations regarding medium-term inflation remained at their highest level in recent years. Meanwhile, short-term forecasts decreased, according to the Bank of England's survey published ahead of its interest rate decision this week.

The regulator closely examines inflation expectations among the population and investors, Reuters reports. This allows the Bank of England to assess whether UK citizens will seek wage increases and determine their willingness to purchase goods and services at higher prices.

According to the May survey, inflation expectations for the five-year period remained at 3.6%, unchanged from February's figure, which was the highest since November 2019.

Forecasts for the rate of price growth in one to two years remained at 3.2%, the highest since November 2022. Meanwhile, the population's estimated one-year inflation rate decreased from 3.4% to 3.2%.

UK consumer prices rose 3.5% in April, up from 2.6% in March.

Anton Volkov MarketCheese
Period: 31.05.2026 Expectation: 4500 pips
Selling EURUSD from resistance
Yesterday at 11:21 AM 28
Period: 27.03.2026 Expectation: 900 pips
USDCAD resistance looms as overheating sets in
Yesterday at 11:04 AM 29
Period: 27.03.2026 Expectation: 1050 pips
AUDCAD thrives on monetary divergence
Yesterday at 10:06 AM 17
Period: 31.03.2026 Expectation: 800 pips
Buying Brent crude with $115 in view
Yesterday at 09:35 AM 34
Gold sell
Period: 31.03.2026 Expectation: 600 pips
Selling gold upon breaking $4,560
Yesterday at 08:46 AM 31
Period: 30.04.2026 Expectation: 2000 pips
SPX selloff to follow once it consolidates below $6,600
Yesterday at 08:46 AM 16
Go to forecasts