1 July | Dollar

Dollar hits 4-year low against euro amid US budget deficit concerns

Dollar hits 4-year low against euro amid US budget deficit concerns

On Monday, the dollar fell to a nearly four-year low against the euro amid concerns over growing US budget deficit and uncertainty surrounding trade deals with other countries, Reuters reports.

Despite sharp internal divisions over the risks of adding $3.3 trillion to the national debt, Senate Republicans continue pushing for the passage of Donald Trump’s sweeping tax-cut bill. This is further weighing on the dollar.

Meanwhile, the European Union has expressed willingness to negotiate a trade deal with the US that would impose a 10% tariff on most goods exported from the region to America, says Reuters. The bloc is also rolling out major investment programs. As a result, the euro has surged to 1.1780 against the dollar, its highest since September 2021.

Trade policy instability continues weighing on the dollar. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced new tariff hikes targeting several countries effective July 9, even as these nations remain engaged in trade negotiations. This policy uncertainty is fueling increased volatility in currency markets.

Elena Berseneva MarketCheese
Brent sell
Period: 26.12.2025 Expectation: 210 pips
Supply glut limits Brent crude growth
Today at 11:26 AM 7
Period: 02.01.2026 Expectation: 1000 pips
AUDCAD eyes another move from range floor to ceiling
Today at 09:29 AM 12
Period: 31.12.2025 Expectation: 180 pips
EURUSD selloff targets 1.1700
Today at 08:54 AM 9
Period: 26.12.2025 Expectation: 870 pips
GBPUSD ignores BoE comments and stays in consolidation
Today at 06:00 AM 11
Period: 28.02.2026 Expectation: 20000 pips
Correction may push BTCUSD down to $66,000
Today at 04:42 AM 12
Period: 25.12.2025 Expectation: 20000 pips
Investing in ETHUSD on confirmed bounce from key support
Yesterday at 10:14 AM 54
Go to forecasts