25 June | Other

Surveys on UK employment reveal new signs of labor market slowdown

Surveys on UK employment reveal new signs of labor market slowdown

The UK labor market is showing signs of slowing down, according to surveys conducted by the analytics firm Brightmine. Wage growth remains below inflation levels, and the number of job vacancies, particularly graduate-level, is contracting.

Pay increases in the private sector were at 3% over the three months to the end of May, compared to an inflation rate of 3.4%. Nearly 15% of companies reported even smaller wage raises of 2.5%, Brightmine stated.

Data from recruitment platform Indeed showed a 5% decline in job openings in the UK by mid-June compared to the end of March. Additionally, this figure was 21% lower than pre-pandemic levels.

The share of graduate-level vacancies reached its lowest since 2018, with the most significant drops occurring in human resources, accounting, and marketing. Indeed emphasized that these sectors are typically the most vulnerable to economic slowdowns.

The Bank of England is monitoring labor market indicators in the context of inflationary risks while considering the possibility of further interest rate cutting, Reuters reports.

Elena Dorokhina MarketCheese
Brent sell
Period: 11.07.2025 Expectation: 400 pips
Brent falls ahead of OPEC+ decisions
04 July 2025 42
Period: 18.07.2025 Expectation: 900 pips
AUDCAD is likely to keep pulling back from its monthly high
04 July 2025 36
Period: 10.07.2025 Expectation: 1200 pips
Selling USDJPY during rebound with 142.430 target
03 July 2025 57
Period: 11.07.2025 Expectation: 220 pips
Heatwaves across Europe and US support gas price recovery from recent lows
03 July 2025 179
Period: 08.07.2025 Expectation: 1500 pips
EURUSD rally faces potential correction toward 1.165
02 July 2025 83
Period: 09.07.2025 Expectation: 1400 pips
USDCAD declines amid US dollar weakness and improving Canadian trade prospects
02 July 2025 58
Go to forecasts