25 June 2025 | Other

Surveys on UK employment reveal new signs of labor market slowdown

Surveys on UK employment reveal new signs of labor market slowdown

The UK labor market is showing signs of slowing down, according to surveys conducted by the analytics firm Brightmine. Wage growth remains below inflation levels, and the number of job vacancies, particularly graduate-level, is contracting.

Pay increases in the private sector were at 3% over the three months to the end of May, compared to an inflation rate of 3.4%. Nearly 15% of companies reported even smaller wage raises of 2.5%, Brightmine stated.

Data from recruitment platform Indeed showed a 5% decline in job openings in the UK by mid-June compared to the end of March. Additionally, this figure was 21% lower than pre-pandemic levels.

The share of graduate-level vacancies reached its lowest since 2018, with the most significant drops occurring in human resources, accounting, and marketing. Indeed emphasized that these sectors are typically the most vulnerable to economic slowdowns.

The Bank of England is monitoring labor market indicators in the context of inflationary risks while considering the possibility of further interest rate cutting, Reuters reports.

Elena Dorokhina MarketCheese
Gold buy
Period: 31.03.2026 Expectation: 23000 pips
Holding on to gold for long term
16 January 2026 60
Period: 30.01.2026 Expectation: 1000 pips
AUDCAD climbs higher after exiting flat trend
16 January 2026 38
Period: 23.01.2026 Expectation: 1060 pips
GBPUSD pushed lower by later Fed cut timeline
16 January 2026 26
Lyra_Moonwell1
Lyra_Moonwell1

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segment "Oil and gas"
Brent sell
Period: 31.01.2026 Expectation: 200 pips
Brent crude selloff targets $62.50
16 January 2026 24
Brent sell
Period: 23.01.2026 Expectation: 125 pips
De-escalated geopolitical tensions send Brent prices into correction
16 January 2026 20
Period: 28.02.2026 Expectation: 1250 pips
Selling GBPUSD down to 1.3275
16 January 2026 19
Go to forecasts