27 June 2025 | Dollar

Declining consumer spending dampened US GDP growth in first quarter

Declining consumer spending dampened US GDP growth in first quarter

US consumer spending in the first quarter grew at its slowest pace since the start of the pandemic. According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, the figure rose just 0.5%, well below the initial estimate of 1.2%. As a result, GDP declined at a downwardly revised 0.5% annualized rate.

The decline was primarily driven by a sharp drop in spending on services, which contributed just 0.3 percentage points, down from 0.79 points previously. Expenditures on entertainment and travel, which are especially sensitive to shifts in consumer sentiment, saw the biggest cuts. As Oxford Economics economist Ryan Sweet points out, the slowdown in these sectors has continued into the second quarter. This, in turn, could drag down economic growth for the entire year.

Spending across all seven major service categories was revised lower, including transportation and foreign travel. The biggest drop came from recreation services, which fell 0.14 percentage points instead of the anticipated 0.04-point increase. Bloomberg reports that such numbers suggest weakening domestic demand.

Period: 17.07.2026 Expectation: 500 pips
Buying Brent crude with $80 target
Yesterday at 11:27 AM 40
Period: 31.08.2026 Expectation: 600 pips
Invest in AUDCAD up to 0.9900
Yesterday at 11:05 AM 21
Period: 17.07.2026 Expectation: 745 pips
USDCAD keeps its downside potential on fading upward move
Yesterday at 11:02 AM 19
Period: 10.08.2026 Expectation: 4000 pips
Selling GBPUSD on weak UK economy
Yesterday at 09:27 AM 12
Period: 18.07.2026 Expectation: 725 pips
AUDCAD sets sights higher as new uptrend takes shape
Yesterday at 06:55 AM 18
Period: 09.08.2026 Expectation: 250 pips
Selling ETHUSD down to $1,500
09 July 2026 49
Go to forecasts