3 July 2025 | Dollar

UBS survey reveals central banks may reduce US asset investments if Fed loses independence

UBS survey reveals central banks may reduce US asset investments if Fed loses independence

According to a UBS survey, two-thirds of central banks are concerned that political pressure in the US could threaten the Federal Reserve’s independence. Nearly half of them say this might even lead them to rethink their holdings in US assets.

The UBS findings point to growing doubts about the dollar’s ability to maintain its status as the world’s leading reserve currency. These concerns are fueled by President Donald Trump’s trade and political disputes with allies, as well as his attempts to influence the Fed’s interest rate decisions.

Still, nearly 80% continue to view the dollar as the dominant reserve currency. Long-term, however, the euro is poised to gain the most from shifting global dynamics. Yet only 6% of respondents plan to boost their euro reserves in the coming year, UBS reports.

At the same time, interest in gold is on the rise. For instance, 52% of central banks have expressed plans to increase their gold holdings, while 39% intend to store most of their reserves domestically, aiming to safeguard their assets from potential US restrictions.

Anton Volkov MarketCheese
Period: 02.06.2025 Expectation: 750 pips
Buying Brent crude with $107 in view
Today at 11:26 AM 4
Period: 02.06.2026 Expectation: 590 pips
Invest in AUDUSD with 0.72160 target ahead of Australia’s strong inflation report
Today at 10:48 AM 6
Period: 26.07.2026 Expectation: 4500 pips
Buying Tesla stock up to $473
Today at 09:06 AM 9
Period: 02.06.2026 Expectation: 1620 pips
Sell Bitcoin with $75,380 target as institutional demand dries up
Today at 07:15 AM 9
Period: 30.06.2026 Expectation: 800 pips
Buy SPX from $7,500 support
Yesterday at 11:30 AM 64
Period: 30.06.2026 Expectation: 7000 pips
Selling Bitcoin if US inflation surges
Yesterday at 11:30 AM 60
Go to forecasts