Anne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer of Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, is urging the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut borrowing costs. She argues that current real interest rates are at historically high levels, creating economic pressure.
Walsh emphasizes that high interest rates—combined with implemented tariffs—are negatively impacting vulnerable economic sectors. Even though a wealthier population with capital access continues buoying the American economy, she notes this is not sufficient. Lower-income consumers face rising borrowing costs. Amid policy and economic uncertainty, both businesses and individuals have grown more cautious about spending and investing, slowing national economic growth.
The problem is exacerbated by trade tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump. These restrictive measures accelerate price growth and make business expenditure forecasting more challenging.
Walsh assesses the near-term probability of a severe economic downturn as relatively low, approximately 30–35%. However, she believes that US economic growth rates will remain below typical levels.