18 June 2025 | Dollar

Trump's tax bill can increase US budget deficit by $2.8 trillion

Trump's tax bill can increase US budget deficit by $2.8 trillion

President Donald Trump's tax cut and increased government spending bill, despite its stimulative effect on US economic growth, will lead to a larger federal budget shortfall. According to estimates by the Congressional Budget Office, the deficit will grow by $2.8 trillion over a decade.

Senate Majority Leader John Thune believes that amending the bill next week could have a positive impact on the US economy.

Moreover, CBO data indicates the tax provisions passed by the House of Representatives will increase the country’s real GDP by an average of 0.5% per year over the next decade. This is expected to reduce the budget deficit by $85 billion. However, the agency’s experts highlight negative effects, including higher interest rates and a $441 billion increase in federal debt payments.

Independent analysts suggest that the national debt could grow by $5 trillion over the next ten years due to permanent corporate tax breaks.

Anton Volkov MarketCheese
Period: 30.06.2026 Expectation: 3000 pips
Buy SPX if Producer Price Index stays cool
Yesterday at 11:34 AM 16
Period: 11.07.2026 Expectation: 300 pips
Buying ETHUSD up to $1,950
Yesterday at 11:30 AM 19
Gold sell
Period: 18.06.2026 Expectation: 1200 pips
Sell gold with $3,980 target during brief rebound
Yesterday at 11:01 AM 21
Period: 11.07.2026 Expectation: 1500 pips
Invest in USDJPY ahead of BoJ meeting
Yesterday at 10:00 AM 20
Period: 31.07.2026 Expectation: 800 pips
Invest in USDJPY up to 161.50
Yesterday at 06:35 AM 19
Period: 31.07.2026 Expectation: 1900 pips
Selling GBPUSD down to 1,3200
Yesterday at 06:35 AM 16
Go to forecasts