18 June | Dollar

Trump's tax bill can increase US budget deficit by $2.8 trillion

Trump's tax bill can increase US budget deficit by $2.8 trillion

President Donald Trump's tax cut and increased government spending bill, despite its stimulative effect on US economic growth, will lead to a larger federal budget shortfall. According to estimates by the Congressional Budget Office, the deficit will grow by $2.8 trillion over a decade.

Senate Majority Leader John Thune believes that amending the bill next week could have a positive impact on the US economy.

Moreover, CBO data indicates the tax provisions passed by the House of Representatives will increase the country’s real GDP by an average of 0.5% per year over the next decade. This is expected to reduce the budget deficit by $85 billion. However, the agency’s experts highlight negative effects, including higher interest rates and a $441 billion increase in federal debt payments.

Independent analysts suggest that the national debt could grow by $5 trillion over the next ten years due to permanent corporate tax breaks.

Anton Volkov MarketCheese
Period: 30.11.2025 Expectation: 2500 pips
Buying NVIDIA shares upon return to $170 support
Today at 10:53 AM 10
Period: 23.10.2025 Expectation: 28500 pips
Opening long positions on ETHUSD as buying interest recovers
Today at 10:35 AM 10
Period: 20.10.2025 Expectation: 1500 pips
Buying GBPUSD on weaker US dollar and potentially positive UK data
Today at 09:13 AM 8
Period: 31.10.2025 Expectation: 300 pips
Natural gas set to climb again
Today at 08:51 AM 11
Period: 23.10.2025 Expectation: 2000 pips
Selling USDJPY on temporary rebound amid persistently weaker dollar
Today at 07:52 AM 10
Period: 31.12.2025 Expectation: 2000 pips
Buying USDJPY from 150.000
Yesterday at 11:20 AM 38
Go to forecasts