23 June 2025 | Dollar

US Federal Reserve split on pace of rate cuts

US Federal Reserve split on pace of rate cuts

After the US Federal Reserve (Fed) kept borrowing costs unchanged last week, central bankers have been split on the further pace of rate cuts. 

Fed Governor Christopher Waller says tariff-driven inflation risk is small, so the regulator should ease policy at its next meeting on July 29–30. He believes a recent rise in prices has been moderate. At the same time, the official emphasizes some worrying trends in the US labor market, such as high unemployment among recent college graduates.  

Meanwhile, Thomas Barkin, Richmond Fed President, sees no urgency to lower borrowing costs. He notes that inflation holds above the 2% target, tariff debates with key trading partners are unresolved, and the unemployment rate remains low. 

Head of San Francisco Fed Mary Daly said during an interview with CNBC that a rate cut in the fall is more appropriate than a move in July. According to her, faster monetary easing may be necessary only if the US job market falters.

Elena Berseneva MarketCheese
Period: 26.07.2026 Expectation: 1600 pips
Buying AUDCAD from support level
Yesterday at 10:41 AM 35
Period: 03.07.2026 Expectation: 1310 pips
GBPUSD is still poised for further downside
Yesterday at 10:12 AM 25
Brent sell
Period: 03.07.2026 Expectation: 500 pips
Higher supply and weaker demand is likely to push Brent into red zone by weekend
Yesterday at 08:09 AM 18
Period: 26.07.2026 Expectation: 3100 pips
Invest in USDCAD up to 1.45000
Yesterday at 07:22 AM 21
Period: 02.07.2026 Expectation: 19500 pips
Selling ETHUSD with $1,585 in view following short-lived recovery
25 June 2026 38
Period: 31.07.2026 Expectation: 220 pips
Buying AUDCAD up to 0.9837
25 June 2026 19
Go to forecasts