21 July 2025 | Euro

Eurozone businesses stay upbeat despite profit squeeze — ECB survey

Eurozone businesses stay upbeat despite profit squeeze — ECB survey

According to the latest European Central Bank (ECB) survey, European companies remain confident about future growth prospects, even as trade tensions weigh on profitability. Although corporate earnings have declined, particularly among small- and medium-sized firms, businesses continue to maintain robust hiring levels, waiting for the economy to recover. 

The ECB's quarterly report revealed that 8% of European firms experienced turnover growth in the past three months, and 23% anticipate better performance in the next quarter. However, profit margins continue to shrink across the bloc, highlighting ongoing pressures.

Trade disputes have impacted eurozone companies broadly, though US exporters and manufacturers face the strongest headwinds. Nearly one-third of surveyed firms reported supply chain disruptions, prompting many to diversify their vendor base or shift their focus toward EU markets.

While long-term inflation expectations remained stable, businesses lowered their short-term price growth forecasts (from 2.9% to 2.5%), indicating caution about short-term operating conditions, the bank commented.

Anton Volkov MarketCheese
Period: 14.11.2026 Expectation: 3500 pips
Sell Bitcoin with $75,000 in view
30 October 2026 81
Period: 14.11.2026 Expectation: 150 pips
Go short on SPX down to $7,500
30 October 2026 102
Brent sell
Period: 29.11.2026 Expectation: 450 pips
Brent crude sell-off targets $105
29 October 2026 81
Period: 12.11.2026 Expectation: 28000 pips
Go long on NVIDIA stock up to $243
29 October 2026 85
Period: 28.11.2026 Expectation: 130 pips
Invest in SPX with 7,850 in view
28 October 2026 113
Period: 28.11.2026 Expectation: 4200 pips
Selling EURUSD down to 1.07000
28 October 2026 129
Go to forecasts