18 July 2025 | Oil

Lower prices slow US oil production growth — Goldman Sachs

Lower prices slow US oil production growth — Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs warns that the era of rapid US oil production growth is ending, citing both the maturing Permian Basin and declining crude prices. The bank expects US output to fall this year and next as domestic producers, highly sensitive to price changes, pull back.

Currently, WTI crude oil averages $65 per barrel. According to Goldman Sachs, this price level benefits consumers but barely exceeds producers' break-even point. This situation holds US production volumes at current levels.

Meanwhile, low national crude oil inventories are currently preventing prices from falling. However, experts at the firm note the persistent negative effect of the growing surplus in the global oil market.

The Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported on Wednesday that US crude oil inventories decreased by 3.9 million barrels in the week ending July 11.

Elena Berseneva MarketCheese
Gold buy
Period: 26.01.2026 Expectation: 10000 pips
Gold keeps climbing higher amid escalating geopolitical tensions
Today at 11:47 AM 28
Lyra_Moonwell1
Lyra_Moonwell1

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segment "Oil and gas"
Brent sell
Period: 28.02.2026 Expectation: 460 pips
Brent crude selloff down to $65.90
Today at 10:56 AM 18
Period: 30.01.2026 Expectation: 1000 pips
S&P 500’s exit from triangle may trigger correction down to 6,810
Today at 10:33 AM 17
Period: 28.02.2026 Expectation: 5600 pips
Selling BTCUSD on potential US tariff escalation
Today at 10:17 AM 15
Period: 26.01.2026 Expectation: 6060 pips
Escalating geopolitical tensions save silver from correction
Today at 07:16 AM 22
Gold buy
Period: 31.03.2026 Expectation: 23000 pips
Holding on to gold for long term
16 January 2026 97
Go to forecasts