18 July | Oil

Lower prices slow US oil production growth — Goldman Sachs

Lower prices slow US oil production growth — Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs warns that the era of rapid US oil production growth is ending, citing both the maturing Permian Basin and declining crude prices. The bank expects US output to fall this year and next as domestic producers, highly sensitive to price changes, pull back.

Currently, WTI crude oil averages $65 per barrel. According to Goldman Sachs, this price level benefits consumers but barely exceeds producers' break-even point. This situation holds US production volumes at current levels.

Meanwhile, low national crude oil inventories are currently preventing prices from falling. However, experts at the firm note the persistent negative effect of the growing surplus in the global oil market.

The Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported on Wednesday that US crude oil inventories decreased by 3.9 million barrels in the week ending July 11.

Elena Berseneva MarketCheese
Period: 31.12.2025 Expectation: 1000 pips
Selling GBPUSD following yesterday’s BoE meeting
07 November 2025 31
Brent sell
Period: 21.11.2025 Expectation: 300 pips
Brent crude pulls back and gives up its previous gains
07 November 2025 29
Period: 10.11.2025 Expectation: 1300 pips
Selling GBPUSD down to 1.30160
06 November 2025 31
Period: 14.11.2025 Expectation: 300 pips
Golden cross signals potential gas rally
06 November 2025 76
Period: 11.11.2025 Expectation: 600 pips
USDCAD is poised to test six-month high at 1.417
05 November 2025 61
Period: 30.04.2026 Expectation: 11000 pips
GBPUSD selloff on weaker UK economic data
05 November 2025 36
Go to forecasts