9 July 2025 | Dollar

Pantheon Macroeconomics points to weakness in US labor market due to concerning June data

Pantheon Macroeconomics points to weakness in US labor market due to concerning June data

The latest US jobs report raises concerns about the labor market's stability, with several warning signs emerging. Analysts at Pantheon Macroeconomics point out that the Bureau of Labor Statistics may have had trouble adjusting the raw data in certain states due to seasonal factors.

The US added 147,000 payrolls in June, surpassing forecasts from most economists surveyed by Bloomberg. While the stronger-than-expected data gave markets a pleasant surprise, the gains were largely driven by hiring in the education sector, leaving many analysts questioning such numbers.

A closer look at the report reveals that June saw the most anemic private-sector job growth in eight months, adding just 74,000 payrolls, nearly half May's figure. About 80% of those gains concentrated in healthcare and social assistance, Bloomberg says. The labor market's weakness was further confirmed by the diffusion index, which showed employment increasing in fewer than half of all US industries in June.

Elena Berseneva MarketCheese
Period: 13.02.2026 Expectation: 1500 pips
GBPUSD temporarily recovers following BoE rate decision
06 February 2026 32
Lyra_Moonwell1
Lyra_Moonwell1

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segment "Oil and gas"
Period: 31.07.2026 Expectation: 1000 pips
Buying ETHUSD on major dip
06 February 2026 41
Period: 31.05.2026 Expectation: 30000 pips
Investing in silver for medium term
06 February 2026 35
Brent sell
Period: 13.02.2026 Expectation: 210 pips
Brent crude stabilizes as geopolitical premium fades away
06 February 2026 28
Period: 12.02.2026 Expectation: 25000 pips
Selling ETHUSD when it bounces up to $2,250 resistance
05 February 2026 33
Lyra_Moonwell1
Lyra_Moonwell1

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segment "Oil and gas"
Period: 31.03.2026 Expectation: 220 pips
Buy SPX starting from $6,820
05 February 2026 38
Go to forecasts