27 September 2022 | Other

Strengthening dollar may lead to financial crisis

The recent rally in the US dollar creates an "unacceptable situation" for riskier assets, which could lead to a financial or economic crisis, Morgan Stanley strategists warned.

Sharp currency fluctuations are another pressure on the global economy and corporate earnings, which are expected to fall as the Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hike in the summer begins to take its toll on spending.

"The ultimate stock lows and yield highs are likely to be determined by the trajectory of earnings and economic growth, not inflation or the Fed," analysts, including Michael Wilson of Morgan Stanley, wrote.

The firm notifies the pressure from the dollar rally will help push the S&P 500 to a new bear market low between 3,000 and 3,400 by early 2023.

Company MarketCheese
Period: 04.11.2026 Expectation: 2700 pips
Go long on NVIDIA stock with $243 in view
Today at 10:10 AM 13
Period: 04.11.2026 Expectation: 1300 pips
EURUSD sell-off targets 1.0000
Today at 09:28 AM 13
Period: 01.11.2026 Expectation: 6300 pips
Buy Tesla stock with $430 in sight
Yesterday at 08:51 AM 22
Period: 20.11.2026 Expectation: 1200 pips
Invest in AUDUSD ahead of Fed and RBA meetings
Yesterday at 06:56 AM 21
Period: 19.11.2026 Expectation: 9435 pips
Buying silver up to $67.00
19 October 2026 28
Gold buy
Period: 31.10.2026 Expectation: 200 pips
Go long on gold with $4,375 in mind
19 October 2026 38
Go to forecasts