Goldman Sachs remains optimistic about U.S. economy

According to Goldman Sachs, the probability that the U.S. will go into a recession is 35%. This became known yesterday. Overall, the probability of recession is half of the figures provided by Goldman Sachs. However, The Wall Street Journal forecast showed a 63% recession probability.

Goldman Sachs Chief Economist Jan Hatzius, in a report provided to clients of the bank, believes that a decline in inflation can occur without a recession preceding it.

Moreover, Goldman Sachs noted that the economy is already more resilient and growth looks solid. The bank also predicts GDP growth over the next year. The figure is expected to rise by 1%. At the same time, the bank believes in the ability of the U.S. Federal Reserve to restore the economy in the most painless way.

However, the October forecast by Bloomberg for the most part lacks optimism. It says that a recession in the United States within a year is inevitable, the risk of its occurrence is 100%. While the risk of a global recession is 98.1%.