13 March | S&P 500

JPMorgan analysts believe worst period for US stock market to be over soon

JPMorgan analysts believe worst period for US stock market to be over soon

As the experts at JPMorgan Chase & Co believe, the worst of the US stock market correction may be already behind us. As the strategists said on Wednesday, credit markets, which have repeatedly given correct forecasts in the last two years, have again eased their expectations of recession in the US.

According to JPMorgan's analysis, while small-cap stock market participants are expecting a recession in the US to take place at a 50% probability, the debt market is suggesting the possibility of an economic downturn at around 9–12%.

The analysts' view provides some breathing for investors after a significant intensification of fears regarding recession in the US. Just this week, a number of experts, including those at Goldman Sachs and Citigroup, have lowered their forecasts for US equities due to concerns about the country's economic growth.

President Donald Trump's trade policies combined with government job cuts have caused the S&P 500 index to fall nearly 9% from February's record highs. Technology stocks entered a correction.

However, according to JPMorgan strategists, if inflows into US stock market ETFs continue, the chances of an end to the current correction in the US stock market are quite high.

Anton Volkov MarketCheese
Gold sell
Period: 09.05.2025 Expectation: 10500 pips
Weakening gold demand to drive prices down to $3,200
Today at 11:19 AM 40
Period: 06.05.2025 Expectation: 1100 pips
US GDP and labor market reports could push EURUSD back toward 1.15 level
Today at 11:14 AM 21
Period: 03.05.2025 Expectation: 1305 pips
Nvidia is approaching resistance amid positive expectations
Today at 09:25 AM 21
Elena_Dorokhina
Elena_Dorokhina

Listed among the best MarketCheese authors
1st in the segment "Currencies"
Period: 07.05.2025 Expectation: 1944 pips
USDCAD downtrend continues amid easing auto tariffs
Today at 07:12 AM 20
Period: 09.05.2025 Expectation: 4000 pips
Consolidation above 290 level will accelerate Tesla's recovery
Yesterday at 11:10 AM 70
Period: 25.05.2025 Expectation: 3330 pips
Selling AUDUSD to 0.6090 following Bearish 5-0 pattern activation
Yesterday at 10:54 AM 36
Go to forecasts