18 March 2025 | S&P 500

Reuters: US stocks fall amid declining dollar exchange rate

Reuters: US stocks fall amid declining dollar exchange rate

According to Reuters, unsustainable US policies could weaken the dollar, risking a decline in US asset prices. For the first quarter, S&P 500 stocks have recorded losses of about 6% in dollar terms.

George Saravelos of Deutsche Bank notes that investors outside the United States holding dollar-denominated assets without currency hedges have experienced significant losses at the start of the year, particularly European market participants. Changes in German fiscal policy have driven the euro up by 5% against the US dollar, Reuters reports.

Saravelos highlights a concerning shift: the dollar, traditionally seen as a safe-haven asset, is now weakening simultaneously with falling America's Stocks. This breaks from the historical pattern of the dollar strengthening during periods of market stress. The divergence reflects growing concerns about uncertainty surrounding states' policy and its economic outlook.

If the dollar's reliability as a safe asset continues to decline, the attractiveness of US investments may diminish. Saravelos warns that a further change in the correlation between the dollar and equities could lead to a significant reduction in dollar holdings.

Elena Dorokhina MarketCheese
Period: 02.11.2026 Expectation: 1700 pips
GBPUSD sell-off targets 1.3200
Today at 11:38 AM 9
Period: 31.10.2026 Expectation: 300 pips
Buying AUDCAD with 1.0000 in sight
Yesterday at 09:43 AM 15
Period: 31.10.2026 Expectation: 700 pips
Invest in USDJPY up to 157.70
Yesterday at 09:43 AM 14
Gold sell
Period: 31.10.2026 Expectation: 3000 pips
Gold sell-off targets $4,000
18 September 2026 43
Period: 30.11.2026 Expectation: 5700 pips
Selling USDJPY down to 150.00
18 September 2026 34
Period: 30.09.2026 Expectation: 1500 pips
Invest in GBPUSD up to 1.36270
17 September 2026 45
Go to forecasts