30 June 2025 | S&P 500

Higher US tariffs weigh on corporate earnings ahead of reporting season — Goldman Sachs

Higher US tariffs weigh on corporate earnings ahead of reporting season — Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs analysts warn that higher US trade tariffs will negatively impact corporate earnings for the second quarter. Since the beginning of the year, duties have increased by about 10% on average. And while much of these costs may be passed on to consumers, many firms are at risk of seeing their margins shrink. Companies that depend on imported raw materials and other goods are particularly vulnerable.

Some firms have already reported the consequences. For instance, General Mills shares plummeted after the food manufacturer announced a possible increase in production costs due to the tariffs. At the same time, Nike managed to minimize the negative impact by changing its supply strategies.

Overall, experts anticipate earnings per share (EPS) growth to slow to 2.6% in the second quarter. This may become the lowest level in the last two years. However, Goldman Sachs analysts believe that the S&P 500 index may exceed expectations if trade tensions continue to decline.

Period: 23.11.2026 Expectation: 170 pips
Buy Brent crude with $120 in sight
23 October 2026 33
Gold sell
Period: 06.11.2026 Expectation: 120 pips
Gold sell-off targets $3,890
23 October 2026 30
Period: 22.11.2026 Expectation: 145 pips
Invest in S&P 500 with 7,845 in mind
22 October 2026 43
Period: 22.11.2026 Expectation: 2400 pips
Sell Bitcoin down to $80,500
22 October 2026 40
Period: 04.11.2026 Expectation: 2700 pips
Go long on NVIDIA stock with $243 in view
21 October 2026 59
Period: 04.11.2026 Expectation: 1300 pips
EURUSD sell-off targets 1.0000
21 October 2026 56
Go to forecasts