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UBS raises outlook for S&P 500 and expects it to rise nearly 10% through mid-2026

Analysts at UBS raised their targets for the S&P 500 index from 5,800 to 6,000 and set a June 2026 target of 6,400. Favorable first-quarter corporate earnings and hopes for stronger US GDP growth in the second half of the year contributed to the upgrade.

Yesterday at 9:38 AM
S&P 500 Index fell 0.23% on Monday

US President Donald Trump's tariff policies kept the market in a state of high volatility on Monday. The Dow Jones Index fell 0.91%, and the S&P 500 Index declined 0.23%, capping off a tumultuous session marked by fears of slowing US economic growth and rising inflation.

8 April
S&P 500 Index fell 0.23% on Monday
Evercore ISI strategist lowers S&P 500 outlook as trade tensions escalate

Evercore ISI’s chief equity strategist Julian Emanuel reduced his S&P 500 forecast to 5,600 points amid escalating trade conflicts. Emanuel also lowered his earnings per share (EPS) forecast for S&P 500 companies to 255 in 2025 and 272 in 2026.

7 April
Evercore ISI strategist lowers S&P 500 outlook as trade tensions escalate
S&P 500 sinks into bear market as US stocks spiral on economic fears

US stocks collapsed, Bloomberg reported. The S&P 500 index fell another 3.7% in morning trading, extending a two-day decline of 10%, its worst since 1960. The US stock market experienced record losses totaling $6 trillion.

7 April
S&P 500 sinks into bear market as US stocks spiral on economic fears
United States. CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions. The value of the indicator has increased from -53.4K to -19K

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of S&P 500.

4 April
UBS cuts US stock rating amid trade restrictions

UBS has downgraded US equities, cautioning that import tariffs may prolong market volatility by dampening both the US economy and global GDP growth. The bank downgraded its outlook for US equities from 'attractive' to 'neutral'.

4 April
UBS cuts US stock rating amid trade restrictions
S&P 500 shows strongest drop since COVID-19 pandemic amid new US tariffs

The US stock market saw the biggest drop in stocks since the COVID-19 pandemic. Total losses amounted to $2.5 trillion, while the S&P 500 index fell by 4.8%. The main reason for this decline was the new tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump.

4 April
S&P 500 shows strongest drop since COVID-19 pandemic amid new US tariffs
S&P 500 drops on vast new US tariffs

The S&P 500 contracts tumbled over 3% after US President Donald Trump outlined a slate of import tariffs that could potentially push the US economy into recession, according to Bloomberg.

3 April
S&P 500 drops on vast new US tariffs
The S&P 500 rose amid uncertainty surrounding President Trump's trade policy

The S&P 500 index closed higher on Tuesday as investors worried ahead of the US administration's import tariffs taking effect. Traders weigh the economic consequences of President Trump's policy initiatives, particularly their potential to slow US growth while accelerating inflation.

2 April
The S&P 500 rose amid uncertainty surrounding President Trump's trade policy
Piper Sandler analyst says US stocks could gain bullish momentum from Trump's tariff announcement

The US stock market began to recover from a significant drop driven by expectations of the introduction of new import tariffs on April 2. The S&P 500 Index rose slightly after falling more than 1.5% in early trading on Monday.

1 April
Piper Sandler analyst says US stocks could gain bullish momentum from Trump's tariff announcement
US stock market wraps up Q1 with correction driven by geopolitical unrest

The first quarter of 2025 proved to be challenging for the US stock market, as shares of domestic companies initially soared to record highs before suffering a sharp correction. Geopolitical tensions will continue to undermine price movements in the coming months, Reuters forecasts.

1 April
US stock market wraps up Q1 with correction driven by geopolitical unrest

The S&P 500 Index (Standard & Poor's 500) is one of the key indicators of the US stock market and overall economic health of the United States. It represents the stock performance of the country's leading corporations. This stock market instrument reflects the dynamics of different sectors and serves as a universal benchmark for investors and analysts.

Major factors that determine the value of S&P 500:

  • Macroeconomic situation, i.e. the Federal Reserve's monetary policy plans, inflation rate, GDP growth rate, and employment figures. These parameters have a direct impact on the stock market.
  • Financial statements reflecting the profits and revenue of major companies, stock performance of which is represented by the index. Strong results support the growth of quotations, while weak results contribute to their decline.
  • Political environment, which includes the tax system, the level of government debt, and monetary reforms. Geopolitical events and government decisions also influence the behavior of traders.
  • Market sentiment; the movement of this stock market index is largely determined by investors' expectations, their appetite for risk, and the strategies of major funds.
  • Technology sector, especially regarding the development of new technologies, impact of IT companies and their role in the economy.

The S&P 500 is often seen as a gauge of US financial health. Its growth suggests positive expectations and investor confidence, while a decrease may signal risks of recession or crisis.

This index is used for both long-term investing and short-term trading. To forecast its movement accurately, it's necessary to take into account macroeconomic data, corporate reporting, and the overall state of the stock market.