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Morgan Stanley keeps its bullish outlook for US stocks

On Monday, Morgan Stanley strategists led by Michael Wilson reiterated their bullish stance on US equities, citing strong earnings growth. According to their scenario, the S&P 500 will reach 7,200 points by the middle of next year.

22 July
Barclays lifts its 2025 target for S&P 500 to 6050

Barclays became another major lender that raised its projections for the S&P 500 index, following the example of Goldman Sachs, Deutsche Bank, and UBS Global Wealth Management.

4 June
Barclays lifts its 2025 target for S&P 500 to 6050
S&P 500 rises as AI breakthroughs boost tech stocks

The S&P 500 extended its gains on Tuesday. Artificial intelligence (AI) stocks garnered particular attention after Constellation Energy secured a power supply agreement with an Illinois nuclear plant.

4 June
S&P 500 rises as AI breakthroughs boost tech stocks
Upcoming US-China negotiations fuel rise in S&P 500 index — Reuters

The US stock market gained momentum yesterday, buoyed by upcoming trade talks between American and Chinese leaders, as well as Nvidia's positive first-quarter earnings report. However, just a few days earlier, Trump accused China of violating trade rules, Reuters reports.

4 June
Upcoming US-China negotiations fuel rise in S&P 500 index — Reuters
Wall Street analyst forecasts fuel S&P 500 rally — Bloomberg

According to Jefferies LLC, Wall Street analysts issued a record number of buy recommendations for S&P 500 companies in May after a strong market surge. The S&P 500 has rallied nearly 20% from its April lows, due to easing trade tensions under Donald Trump’s tariff policies.

3 June
Wall Street analyst forecasts fuel S&P 500 rally — Bloomberg
Deutsche Bank raises S&P 500 year-end 2025 target from 6,150 to 6,550

Deutsche Bank has lifted its year-end 2025 forecast for the S&P 500, raising its target from 6,150 to 6,550. The bank’s analysts point to easing tariff pressure on corporate profits and the resilience of the US economy as key reasons for the revision.

3 June
Deutsche Bank raises S&P 500 year-end 2025 target from 6,150 to 6,550
S&P 500 advances despite escalating trade tensions between US and China

US stocks finished higher on Monday, with investors largely showing no reaction to escalating US trade tensions with China and the European Union. The S&P 500 index rose about 0.4%, while the Nasdaq Composite index, tracking technology companies, climbed 0.7%.

3 June
S&P 500 advances despite escalating trade tensions between US and China
Morgan Stanley sees mild US recession potentially bullish for S&P 500

Concerns about a US recession have eased recently. However, according to Morgan Stanley strategists, a downturn in the country's economy is still possible. A potential recession within the next 12 months would likely be mild and could support the stock market.

3 June
Morgan Stanley sees mild US recession potentially bullish for S&P 500
Stagflation risks may limit US stock growth this summer — JPMorgan

According to JPMorgan Chase & Co. strategists, rising consumer prices and a potential slowdown in US economic growth could hinder the S&P 500's ability to make further gains this summer.

2 June
Stagflation risks may limit US stock growth this summer — JPMorgan
Trump's plans to tighten US tariff policy intensify dollar decline — Reuters

On Monday, both the US dollar and the US stock market dropped amid escalating tariff disputes between America and China. Late last week, Donald Trump announced a possible increase in steel and aluminum import tariffs effective June 4, Reuters notes.

2 June
Trump's plans to tighten US tariff policy intensify dollar decline — Reuters
Bloomberg forecasts S&P 500’s surge driven by tech sector

Tech giants, which dragged down the S&P 500 in April, are now fueling a recovery in US stocks. Traders expect companies such as Nvidia and Microsoft to drive the index higher in the near future, Bloomberg reports.

2 June
Bloomberg forecasts S&P 500’s surge driven by tech sector

The S&P 500 Index (Standard & Poor's 500) is one of the key indicators of the US stock market and overall economic health of the United States. It represents the stock performance of the country's leading corporations. This stock market instrument reflects the dynamics of different sectors and serves as a universal benchmark for investors and analysts.

Major factors that determine the value of S&P 500:

  • Macroeconomic situation, i.e. the Federal Reserve's monetary policy plans, inflation rate, GDP growth rate, and employment figures. These parameters have a direct impact on the stock market.
  • Financial statements reflecting the profits and revenue of major companies, stock performance of which is represented by the index. Strong results support the growth of quotations, while weak results contribute to their decline.
  • Political environment, which includes the tax system, the level of government debt, and monetary reforms. Geopolitical events and government decisions also influence the behavior of traders.
  • Market sentiment; the movement of this stock market index is largely determined by investors' expectations, their appetite for risk, and the strategies of major funds.
  • Technology sector, especially regarding the development of new technologies, impact of IT companies and their role in the economy.

The S&P 500 is often seen as a gauge of US financial health. Its growth suggests positive expectations and investor confidence, while a decrease may signal risks of recession or crisis.

This index is used for both long-term investing and short-term trading. To forecast its movement accurately, it's necessary to take into account macroeconomic data, corporate reporting, and the overall state of the stock market.