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Morgan Stanley keeps its bullish outlook for US stocks

On Monday, Morgan Stanley strategists led by Michael Wilson reiterated their bullish stance on US equities, citing strong earnings growth. According to their scenario, the S&P 500 will reach 7,200 points by the middle of next year.

22 July
Wall Street's well-known optimist forecasts S&P 500 at 7,000 points by year's end

Wall Street stock market strategists have largely abandoned their high expectations for S&P 500 rising in 2025. However, that's not the case with Christopher Harvey of Wells Fargo Securities LLC. He foresees the S&P 500 Index ending the year at 7,007 points.

6 May
Wall Street's well-known optimist forecasts S&P 500 at 7,000 points by year's end
Wall Street strategist Tom DeMark forecasts drop in S&P 500 index

Wall Street veteran Tom DeMark warns the S&P 500 currently sits in a vulnerable position. Shifts in global trade dynamics could drive the index down to 4,835, which would represent a 20% decline from February's peak and establish dominant bearish market sentiment.

6 May
Wall Street strategist Tom DeMark forecasts drop in S&P 500 index
S&P 500 index ends 9-day rally amid tariff concerns — The Economic Times

The Economic Times reports that the S&P 500 index has ended its longest streak of gains in 20 years. The index fell 0.62% to 5,634 on Monday amid investor caution over new tariffs announced by US President Donald Trump and ahead of this week's Federal Reserve (Fed) decision.

6 May
S&P 500 index ends 9-day rally amid tariff concerns — The Economic Times
Analysts cast doubts on traditional seasonal stock market strategies — Yahoo Finance

Yahoo Finance reports that investors and analysts are highly skeptical about the effectiveness of the age-old stock market adage, "Sell in May and go away," given current market conditions.

5 May
Analysts cast doubts on traditional seasonal stock market strategies — Yahoo Finance
US tech giants' earnings rebut investor fears of stock plunge

Last week, major US technology companies, that dominate the S&P 500 Index, released their earnings reports. The results dispelled widespread investor concerns about potential market declines linked to the US administration's trade policies.

5 May
US tech giants' earnings rebut investor fears of stock plunge
Investors favor Japanese and European markets over US assets — BofA

According to BofA Global Research, investors sold US stocks and bought Japanese and European securities in the week ending Wednesday, April 30. During this period, the outflow from US markets totaled $8.9 billion.

5 May
Investors favor Japanese and European markets over US assets — BofA
S&P 500 growth slowed ahead of US Fed May meeting

The S&P 500 index's solid gains, fueled by China's and the United States' attempts to reach a mutually beneficial trade deal, weakened on Monday morning. Meanwhile, the markets' attention is drawn to this week's Fed meeting.

5 May
S&P 500 growth slowed ahead of US Fed May meeting
United States. CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions. The value of the indicator has decreased from -75.9K to -78.7K

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of S&P 500.

2 May
100-day milestone of Trump's presidency was marked by 8% drop in S&P 500

According to a report by Reuters, the S&P 500 index has fallen nearly 8% since the inauguration of US President Donald Trump. The decline is largely attributed to his aggressive trade policies and unpredictable imposition of tariffs, which have dampened prospects for global economic growth.

30 April
100-day milestone of Trump's presidency was marked by 8% drop in S&P 500
HSBC joins others in downgrading S&P 500 forecast

On Tuesday, HSBC became the latest major international institution to adjust its outlook for the S&P 500 Index till the year-end.

30 April
HSBC joins others in downgrading S&P 500 forecast

The S&P 500 Index (Standard & Poor's 500) is one of the key indicators of the US stock market and overall economic health of the United States. It represents the stock performance of the country's leading corporations. This stock market instrument reflects the dynamics of different sectors and serves as a universal benchmark for investors and analysts.

Major factors that determine the value of S&P 500:

  • Macroeconomic situation, i.e. the Federal Reserve's monetary policy plans, inflation rate, GDP growth rate, and employment figures. These parameters have a direct impact on the stock market.
  • Financial statements reflecting the profits and revenue of major companies, stock performance of which is represented by the index. Strong results support the growth of quotations, while weak results contribute to their decline.
  • Political environment, which includes the tax system, the level of government debt, and monetary reforms. Geopolitical events and government decisions also influence the behavior of traders.
  • Market sentiment; the movement of this stock market index is largely determined by investors' expectations, their appetite for risk, and the strategies of major funds.
  • Technology sector, especially regarding the development of new technologies, impact of IT companies and their role in the economy.

The S&P 500 is often seen as a gauge of US financial health. Its growth suggests positive expectations and investor confidence, while a decrease may signal risks of recession or crisis.

This index is used for both long-term investing and short-term trading. To forecast its movement accurately, it's necessary to take into account macroeconomic data, corporate reporting, and the overall state of the stock market.