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Morgan Stanley keeps its bullish outlook for US stocks

On Monday, Morgan Stanley strategists led by Michael Wilson reiterated their bullish stance on US equities, citing strong earnings growth. According to their scenario, the S&P 500 will reach 7,200 points by the middle of next year.

22 July
S&P 500 edged lower on Tuesday amid investor concerns over US trade policy uncertainty

The S&P 500 closed slightly lower on Tuesday as investors remained cautious amid uncertainty over US trade policy. Reuters reports that fresh tariff threats from Donald Trump weighed on market optimism, dimming hopes for progress in trade talks with several key partners.

9 July
S&P 500 edged lower on Tuesday amid investor concerns over US trade policy uncertainty
Australian pension funds reduce exposure to US stocks as uncertainty rises

Australia’s top pension funds, managing over 4 trillion Australian dollars ($2.6 trillion), are revising their investment strategies. Geopolitical instability and the US administration’s erratic actions prompted them to diversify away from US stocks.

8 July
Australian pension funds reduce exposure to US stocks as uncertainty rises
Goldman Sachs raises 2025 forecast for S&P 500 index

Goldman Sachs has increased its 3-, 6- and 12-month return forecasts for the S&P 500 index, citing potential interest rate cuts in the US and fundamental strength of major American large-cap companies.

8 July
Goldman Sachs raises 2025 forecast for S&P 500 index
Wall Street indexes dropped following Trump’s new tariffs on trading partners

Wall Street's major indexes plunged on Monday after US President Donald Trump announced sweeping tariffs on several trading partners, set to take effect August 1, Reuters reports.

8 July
Wall Street indexes dropped following Trump’s new tariffs on trading partners
United States. CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions. The value of the indicator has increased from -144.8K to -86.8K

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of S&P 500.

7 July
British business is losing interest in investing in US due to Trump's tariff policy

According to a Deloitte survey of financial directors at major UK companies, the attractiveness of the US as an investment destination has declined sharply. The share of executives who consider the United States a favorable place for investments dropped to just +2% in June 2025.

7 July
British business is losing interest in investing in US due to Trump's tariff policy
Global stock markets record highest weekly inflows in 8 months

According to Reuters, global stock markets saw significant capital inflows during the week ending July 2. The gains were driven by record-breaking performances in US equities and increased investor interest in artificial intelligence (AI) sectors.

7 July
Global stock markets record highest weekly inflows in 8 months
De-dollarization could boost S&P 500 performance — Yahoo Finance

JPMorgan analysts highlight several trends pointing to global de-dollarization, even as the US dollar remains the world’s dominant reserve currency and primary medium for trade and international transactions.

7 July
De-dollarization could boost S&P 500 performance — Yahoo Finance
Weak dollar could boost earnings of US multinationals — Morgan Stanley

According to Morgan Stanley, the recent weakening of the US dollar may benefit American multinational corporations, which typically gain from favorable currency conversion effects when foreign earnings are translated back into dollars.

7 July
Weak dollar could boost earnings of US multinationals — Morgan Stanley
Investors watch as tariff deadline approaches amid rising US stocks

The temporary suspension of US import tariffs on key trading partners will expire this week. If trade tensions between the countries do not escalate after July 9, it could be positive for American stock markets, Reuters reports.

7 July
Investors watch as tariff deadline approaches amid rising US stocks

The S&P 500 Index (Standard & Poor's 500) is one of the key indicators of the US stock market and overall economic health of the United States. It represents the stock performance of the country's leading corporations. This stock market instrument reflects the dynamics of different sectors and serves as a universal benchmark for investors and analysts.

Major factors that determine the value of S&P 500:

  • Macroeconomic situation, i.e. the Federal Reserve's monetary policy plans, inflation rate, GDP growth rate, and employment figures. These parameters have a direct impact on the stock market.
  • Financial statements reflecting the profits and revenue of major companies, stock performance of which is represented by the index. Strong results support the growth of quotations, while weak results contribute to their decline.
  • Political environment, which includes the tax system, the level of government debt, and monetary reforms. Geopolitical events and government decisions also influence the behavior of traders.
  • Market sentiment; the movement of this stock market index is largely determined by investors' expectations, their appetite for risk, and the strategies of major funds.
  • Technology sector, especially regarding the development of new technologies, impact of IT companies and their role in the economy.

The S&P 500 is often seen as a gauge of US financial health. Its growth suggests positive expectations and investor confidence, while a decrease may signal risks of recession or crisis.

This index is used for both long-term investing and short-term trading. To forecast its movement accurately, it's necessary to take into account macroeconomic data, corporate reporting, and the overall state of the stock market.