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An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of USD.

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BofA Securities sees US dollar uptrend forming

For most of 2025, the greenback was in a downtrend, but BofA Securities has seen signs of a reversal. On Wednesday, the Dollar Index rose to 98.5 against major currencies. Still, it has fallen almost 10% so far this year.

16 July
BofA Securities sees US dollar uptrend forming
Dollar strengthens amid rising inflation and tariff pressure in US

In June, US inflation rose due to higher prices for imported goods, including coffee, furniture, and appliances. The accelerated price growth led investors to lower expectations regarding interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.

16 July
Dollar strengthens amid rising inflation and tariff pressure in US
US core inflation rises slower than expected for fifth straight month

Core inflation in the US grew less than forecast in June, marking the fifth consecutive month of slower-than-expected growth despite the impact of President Donald Trump’s import tariffs, which pushed up prices on certain goods.

16 July
US core inflation rises slower than expected for fifth straight month
Fed's Logan sees need to keep interest rates steady for longer to cool inflation

According to Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Laurie Logan, US central bank officials will likely have to keep interest rates steady for a while to ease inflationary pressures.

16 July
Fed's Logan sees need to keep interest rates steady for longer to cool inflation
Reuters analysts expect US inflation to accelerate in June

Experts surveyed by Reuters suggest that American consumer prices likely rose in June. The US Labor Department's report is expected to show increased gasoline prices and higher costs for some tariff-sensitive goods last month.

15 July
Reuters analysts expect US inflation to accelerate in June
Euro poised to rally to 1.40 against US dollar – BCA Research

According to Jeremie Peloso, Chief Europe Strategist at financial advisory firm BCA Research, the euro is in the early stages of a multi-year bull market that could eventually take EUR/USD to 1.40.

15 July
Euro poised to rally to 1.40 against US dollar – BCA Research
Trump's tariffs to cut corporate profits and national employment — San Francisco Fed

A new study by the Federal Reserve Bank (Fed) of San Francisco warns that although Donald Trump's tariffs may boost US manufacturing jobs in the medium term, they will ultimately reduce overall employment and corporate profits nationwide.

15 July
Trump's tariffs to cut corporate profits and national employment — San Francisco Fed
Dollar decline may boost gold prices — Heraeus

Gold prices have dipped slightly recently. However, a weaker US dollar could help push the yellow metal higher again. Meanwhile, silver prices are rising due to record demand for semiconductors, according to Heraeus analysts.

15 July
Dollar decline may boost gold prices — Heraeus
US Cleveland Fed chief sees no urgent need to cut rates

Beth Hammack, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, sees no need for an immediate interest rate cut. She cites persistently high inflation rate and the uncertainty surrounding the impact of trade tariffs on domestic price pressures.

15 July
US Cleveland Fed chief sees no urgent need to cut rates
BofA recommends buying Australian dollar on China's economic growth prospects

Bank of America recommends buying the Australian dollar against the US dollar at a rate of 0.6546, with a target level of 0.69 and a stop loss at 0.6350.

14 July
BofA recommends buying Australian dollar on China's economic growth prospects

The dollar is the monetary unit of the United States (US). It is also used as the official currency by some other countries (Ecuador, Zimbabwe, El Salvador). The dollar holds a leading position in the world economy.

At the moment, the dollar dominates the system of international settlements with almost 50% share (the euro ranks second with less than 25%). Meanwhile, the dollar's dominance is even more pronounced in the financial sector, on the foreign exchange market, and in the government reserves.

The US currency (USD) quotes, as well as those of its foreign counterparts, depend primarily on the economic and political situation in the issuing country. The US authorities, such as the Federal Reserve System (the Fed) and the Department of the Treasury, influence the dollar exchange rate by changing their monetary, fiscal, budget, and tax policies. 

Moreover, the value of the dollar may be significantly affected by the latest news and the international situation. Global economic problems and rising geopolitical tensions have historically been favorable for the US currency, as investors consider it one of the major safe-haven assets, along with gold. In contrast, during periods of strong economic growth and a relatively calm global environment, the demand for the dollar tend to reduce.