A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of USD.
A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of USD.
Disagreements between US President and Federal Reserve Chairman over future monetary policy continue to intensify. Powell's term as Fed Chair is coming to an end next year. Investors hope that a more dovish official will replace him, Reuters reports.
ING analysts believe the euro could rise to 1.20 against the dollar, but this would require significant shifts in the current economic situation. Among the drivers for euro appreciation, experts cited changes related to existing trade tariffs, the US budget deficit, or the Federal Reserve (Fed).
The dollar continues to weaken as investors grow increasingly concerned about potential threats to the Federal Reserve's independence. Expectations of monetary policy easing by the Fed are adding further pressure to the greenback, according to Reuters.
This week, Federal Reserve officials said they will closely monitor the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the next few months. They argue that this is key to evaluating the long-term inflationary effects of Donald Trump’s trade tariffs.
On Friday, the dollar is hovering near its lowest level in three and a half years against the euro and sterling amid traders' reassessment of the US Central Bank's monetary policy prospects.
A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of USD.
A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of USD.
According to forecasts by experts surveyed by Investopedia, the US core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, excluding food and energy, is expected to have risen by 0.1% month-over-month in May. The annual rate is anticipated at 2.6%, slightly above April’s 2.5%.
According to JPMorgan's forecasts, US GDP growth will be 1.3% in 2025. This is lower than the bank's estimates, published at the start of the year. As it was noted by the bank's experts, the economy of the United States will come under pressure from Donald Trump's import tariffs.
The greenback dropped as expectations grew of sooner monetary easing in the US. The Bloomberg dollar index fell 0.2% to a record low since April 2022.
The dollar is the monetary unit of the United States (US). It is also used as the official currency by some other countries (Ecuador, Zimbabwe, El Salvador). The dollar holds a leading position in the world economy.
At the moment, the dollar dominates the system of international settlements with almost 50% share (the euro ranks second with less than 25%). Meanwhile, the dollar's dominance is even more pronounced in the financial sector, on the foreign exchange market, and in the government reserves.
The US currency (USD) quotes, as well as those of its foreign counterparts, depend primarily on the economic and political situation in the issuing country. The US authorities, such as the Federal Reserve System (the Fed) and the Department of the Treasury, influence the dollar exchange rate by changing their monetary, fiscal, budget, and tax policies.
Moreover, the value of the dollar may be significantly affected by the latest news and the international situation. Global economic problems and rising geopolitical tensions have historically been favorable for the US currency, as investors consider it one of the major safe-haven assets, along with gold. In contrast, during periods of strong economic growth and a relatively calm global environment, the demand for the dollar tend to reduce.