A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of USD.
A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of USD.
According to White House chief economist Stephen Miran, President Donald Trump's policies will reduce the US budget deficit by up $11 trillion over the next ten years.
Traders are boosting bets on a decline in the yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds, expecting them to drop to four percent. Total bets have exceeded $38 million of worth over the past two days.
During congressional hearings, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell did not provide a specific timeline for potential interest rate cuts. He stated that, given the resilience of the US economy, there is no need to rush into such a decision.
BofA economists have shared two possible directions for the Fed's monetary policy in 2025. They believe that in case of a significant weakening of the US economy, which could happen before the end of the summer, the central bank could move to reducing borrowing costs by 75 basis points.
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr aligns with Chair Jerome Powell’s concerns about inflation, anticipating that it could accelerate due to Donald Trump’s proposed import tariffs.
As the 90-day pause on US tariff increases for European imports nears its end, markets are paying more attention to the issue. The parties continue to negotiate, but if the US introduces additional duties against the EU, the region is likely to take retaliatory measures, Bloomberg reports.
US consumer confidence declined in June, underscoring Americans' concerns about the impact of tariffs on the country's economy and labor market. The Conference Board’s gauge dipped 5.4 points to 93.
According to Richard Chambers from Goldman Sachs, the dollar might continue its decline as currency hedging ratios rise, driven by foreign investors hedging against volatility.
A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of USD.
Today, US President Donald Trump declared the necessity of reducing interest rates by 2-3%. He also continued making critical comments toward Federal Reserve System (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell. Last week, the US Fed maintained rates at the current level of 4.5%.
The dollar is the monetary unit of the United States (US). It is also used as the official currency by some other countries (Ecuador, Zimbabwe, El Salvador). The dollar holds a leading position in the world economy.
At the moment, the dollar dominates the system of international settlements with almost 50% share (the euro ranks second with less than 25%). Meanwhile, the dollar's dominance is even more pronounced in the financial sector, on the foreign exchange market, and in the government reserves.
The US currency (USD) quotes, as well as those of its foreign counterparts, depend primarily on the economic and political situation in the issuing country. The US authorities, such as the Federal Reserve System (the Fed) and the Department of the Treasury, influence the dollar exchange rate by changing their monetary, fiscal, budget, and tax policies.
Moreover, the value of the dollar may be significantly affected by the latest news and the international situation. Global economic problems and rising geopolitical tensions have historically been favorable for the US currency, as investors consider it one of the major safe-haven assets, along with gold. In contrast, during periods of strong economic growth and a relatively calm global environment, the demand for the dollar tend to reduce.