9 November 2022 | Other

Issuance of new loans in China is slowing down

According to the Reuters poll, the number of loans made in China in October was down significantly from September's figures.

Chinese banks lent 800 billion yuan ($110.4 billion) last month, far less than the 2.47 trillion yuan in September. That amount provided was even less than the October 2021 result of 826.2 billion yuan.

Goldman Sachs analysts concluded that regardless of the continuation of credit support to the manufacturing sector, and also despite the creation of liquidity through additional collateralized lending (PSL), overall demand for credit may remain sluggish.

In October, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) lent 154.3 billion yuan to three banks through its PSL credit line.

The People's Bank of China has pledged to implement adaptive policies to support economic growth, but it has limited capacity because of concerns about capital outflows and the weakening of the yuan.

The central bank governor pledged to maintain normal monetary policy and positive interest rates for as long as possible, predicting that China's potential economic growth is likely to remain within reasonable limits.

According to the survey, outstanding RMB loans will rise 11.2% in October from a year ago, unchanged from September. Broad money supply M2 growth in October was 12.0% vs. 12.1% in September.

China's Ministry of Finance reported that local governments issued 24.1 billion yuan worth of special bonds in September, up from 51.6 billion yuan in August.

Company MarketCheese
Period: 31.10.2026 Expectation: 1700 pips
Selling EURUSD on fundamentally strong dollar
Yesterday at 10:00 AM 19
Gold sell
Period: 31.10.2026 Expectation: 4000 pips
Go short on gold with $4,300 in mind
24 September 2026 36
Period: 31.10.2026 Expectation: 100 pips
Buy Brent crude upon breaking $104.60
24 September 2026 32
Period: 02.11.2026 Expectation: 1700 pips
GBPUSD sell-off targets 1.3200
22 September 2026 45
Period: 31.10.2026 Expectation: 300 pips
Buying AUDCAD with 1.0000 in sight
21 September 2026 49
Period: 31.10.2026 Expectation: 700 pips
Invest in USDJPY up to 157.70
21 September 2026 41
Go to forecasts