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10 November 2022 | Other

Morgan Stanley cuts its annual inflow estimate to China due to rising risks

USDCNY

American firm Morgan Stanley lowered its forecast for annual inflow to China till 2030, but even so suggests that global investment funds may be interested in Chinese assets again in 2023 after this year’s withdrawal.

In 2022, China experienced large capital outflow of more than $100 billion because global funds cut their investments in Chinese bonds and partially withdrew shares from the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong. Regarding these facts, U.S. economists Robin Xing and James K Lord have suggested a consequent limitation of investments in China because of the risks involved.

According to Morgan Stanley's updated forecast, in 2023–2030 China will attract from $120 billion to $200 billion of foreign capital annually. Previously, the firm suggested inflows of up to $300 billion.

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