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ECB officials say euro's appreciation may hurt exports

The single currency’s nearly 14% rise this year has helped curb inflation in the EU. However, further euro appreciation could push consumer prices below the ECB’s 2% target and hurt the competitiveness of export-oriented companies.

4 July
ECB officials say euro's appreciation may hurt exports
Risks associated with parliamentary elections in Japan to affect yen soon – BofA

On Thursday, the campaign period for elections for the upper chamber of parliament began in Japan. According to Bank of America, the associated risks have not yet manifested themselves in the exchange rate of the yen. However, the risks may appear after the publication of election projections.

4 July
Risks associated with parliamentary elections in Japan to affect yen soon – BofA
Goldman cuts its 2025 US bond yield forecast after revising Fed rate expectations

Analysts at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. have lowered their forecasts for US Treasury bond yields due to increasing expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will ease monetary policy sooner than previously anticipated.

4 July
Goldman cuts its 2025 US bond yield forecast after revising Fed rate expectations
Barclays raises Brent crude price forecast to $72 per barrel for 2025

On Thursday, Barclays raised its Brent crude price forecast by $6 to $72 per barrel for 2025 and by $10 to $70 per barrel for 2026, citing expected demand growth. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have eased, and the risk premium has disappeared.

4 July
Barclays raises Brent crude price forecast to $72 per barrel for 2025
RBA to cut rates at July 8 meeting as economy expected to slow — Reuters poll

According to a Reuters poll, the Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to cut interest rates at its next meeting on July 8 as inflation falls, and economic growth is projected to weaken.

4 July
RBA to cut rates at July 8 meeting as economy expected to slow — Reuters poll
Demand for gold among affluent investors shows growth — HSBC

According to an HSBC study, demand for gold remains elevated among various investor categories, including central banks and affluent individuals. Moreover, Kitco data shows that currency investments in many countries have declined by approximately 40%.

4 July
Demand for gold among affluent investors shows growth — HSBC
ECB officials wary of rising global trade uncertainty

In June, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut interest rates for the eighth time in a year. However, officials signal a pause in further monetary easing as EU inflation has reached the target level of 2% and uncertainty about US tariff policy persists.

4 July
ECB officials wary of rising global trade uncertainty
European stocks rise as markets assess US employment data

European stocks closed higher on Thursday. The pan-European STOXX 600 index ended trading up 0.5%. Meanwhile, Germany's DAX index was up 0.6% at closing time on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange.

4 July
European stocks rise as markets assess US employment data
Alberta's oil production drops to two-year low in May

Alberta's crude production fell to its lowest level in two years in May, as wildfires and maintenance work reduced output from the oil sands. According to Bloomberg, crude output in Canada's Alberta province fell by 397,000 barrels to 3.61 million barrels per day in May.

4 July
Alberta's oil production drops to two-year low in May
United States. Nonfarm Payrolls. The value of the indicator has increased from 144K to 147K

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of USD.

3 July

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The world of business and finance is constantly changing. What trends and directions are relevant today? The answer to this question is key to successfully navigating in a trading and investment environment and better assessing the risks involved.

Global events and economic policies

The global economy can be greatly impacted by major events, causing stock markets and exchange rates to plummet. The repercussions of one nation's crisis may extend to other countries, creating a butterfly effect with far-reaching consequences. While these events may be frightening for some, traders and investors use them as a chance to generate profits amidst a crisis.

Financial institutions and their role

Financial institutions act as intermediaries between borrowers and lenders. This group typically includes banks, as well as non-bank organizations such as pension funds, insurance companies, credit unions, and pawnshops. By supporting global trade, business growth, and job opportunities, these institutions play a crucial role in maintaining a stable and thriving economy.

Government and Economy

All governments serve as regulators for businesses, both domestically and internationally. The economic policies implemented by separate states have a significant impact on their currency exchange rates and living expenses.

Investment and Risks

Market players are always looking for tools and opportunities to make a profitable investment, which is accompanied by some risks. This is where capital management comes into play, with the goal of minimizing losses and maximizing profits

By closely monitoring worldwide events and economic strategies of the top nations, traders and investors can make well-informed decisions in the financial world