Euro News (EUR)

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No change of the indicator value may reduce the volatility of the related markets.

5 September
Europe's retail sector faces challenges

Retail has become the most distressed sector in Europe, surpassing industrial and real-estate companies, according to the latest report by Weil, Gotshal & Manges.

26 June
Europe's retail sector faces challenges
Spanish economy expanded 0.6% in the first quarter

Spain’s economy slowed to 0.6% in the first quarter of 2025 compared to the previous period, as geopolitical instability and uncertain US trade policy fuel concerns about global GDP growth, Reuters reports.

26 June
Spanish economy expanded 0.6% in the first quarter
Increased defense spending under old investment model won't boost European growth — Bloomberg

Bloomberg reports that European nations’ plans to allocate trillions of euros to defense may prove economically ineffective. Without improving spending efficiency, the impact will remain short-lived and marginal.

25 June
Increased defense spending under old investment model won't boost European growth — Bloomberg
EU is ready to take retaliatory measures if US raises tariffs — Bloomberg

As the 90-day pause on US tariff increases for European imports nears its end, markets are paying more attention to the issue. The parties continue to negotiate, but if the US introduces additional duties against the EU, the region is likely to take retaliatory measures, Bloomberg reports.

25 June
EU is ready to take retaliatory measures if US raises tariffs — Bloomberg
ECB to act only on major shifts in inflation outlook — Philip Lane

According to the ECB’s chief economist, Philip Lane, the central bank will only react to major shifts in the inflation outlook, dismissing small fluctuations, given that price growth in the eurozone is currently stable.

25 June
ECB to act only on major shifts in inflation outlook — Philip Lane
Reuters economists forecast another ECB rate cut in September

According to a Reuters economist survey, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to conclude its monetary easing cycle with a final rate cut in September. Nearly 60% of respondents assess balanced risks to their eurozone inflation forecasts for both the remainder of this year and next year.

25 June
Reuters economists forecast another ECB rate cut in September
Goldman Sachs analyst sees increase in currency hedging accelerate dollar’s decline

According to Richard Chambers from Goldman Sachs, the dollar might continue its decline as currency hedging ratios rise, driven by foreign investors hedging against volatility.

25 June
Goldman Sachs analyst sees increase in currency hedging accelerate dollar’s decline
German companies display their most positive economic sentiment in two years

According to the Ifo Institute, German business expectations for the economy rose to 90.7 in June, up from a revised 89.0 in May. This marks the highest reading since April 2023 and exceeds Bloomberg's consensus forecast of 89.9.

24 June
German companies display their most positive economic sentiment in two years
Central banks plan to boost gold reserves as dollar dominance wanes — OMFIF survey

A survey by the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum (OMFIF) found that one in three central banks plan to cut their dependence on the dollar and ramp up gold holdings over the next year or two.

24 June
Central banks plan to boost gold reserves as dollar dominance wanes — OMFIF survey
Merz cabinet approved Germany's draft budget for current year and medium-term financial plan

The Cabinet of German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has approved the budget for 2025 and medium-term financial plan. According to the documents, a substantial increase in government borrowing is expected in order to build up the country's military capabilities.

24 June
Merz cabinet approved Germany's draft budget for current year and medium-term financial plan

The European currency is one of the world's major monetary units. It has a crucial role to play in the global economy. Market participants constantly need to identify trends and forecast fluctuations in the euro exchange rate in order to make reasonable trading decisions.

Key drivers of the euro are the following:

  • Macroeconomic indicators such as consumer price indices (CPI), estimates of gross domestic product (GDP), and central bank decisions;
  • Political variables such as geopolitical stability and government policies.

Market manipulation by large investors has a significant impact on the exchange rate of the European currency. Their actions can both stabilize and greatly shake the money market. These may include:

  • large injections or withdrawals of currency from the market;
  • change in the general mood among investors, which often depends on economic and political conditions.

Investment activity monitoring can help to understand and predict trends in the movement of the European currency rates.

Forecasting the value of the euro is a challenging task. There are many reasons for this, including geopolitical and economic risks that make foreign exchange markets particularly susceptible to change. Minor political instability or financial crisis in certain countries may have a significant impact on the value of the European currency, emphasizing the need to carefully consider these factors when developing investment strategies.

Successful trading the Eurozone currency requires a comprehensive approach. Analyzing global political and economic circumstances, taking into account the influence of traders, and assessing risks are integral parts of the decision-making process for opening trading positions.