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BofA predicts euro will rise to 1.17 against US dollar by late 2025

Bank of America confirms its forecast for the euro to strengthen against the US dollar. The bank expects the currency pair to reach 1.17 by the end of 2025. The current euro exchange rate appears stronger against the greenback.

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Germany's cabinet approves tax reforms worth more than $50 billion

Germany's cabinet, led by Chancellor Friedrich Merz, has approved a package of tax breaks for national companies worth €46 billion (roughly $52 billion). These measures are part of the new German government's strategy to revive the country's economy.

4 June
Germany's cabinet approves tax reforms worth more than $50 billion
European Union. Markit Composite PMI. The value of the indicator has increased from 49.5 to 50.2

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.

4 June
Germany. German Composite PMI. The value of the indicator has decreased from 48.6 to 48.5

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of EUR.

4 June
Italy saw its unemployment rate drop to 5.9% amid robust labor market — ISTAT

Italy's labor market showed encouraging signs in April, with the unemployment rate falling to 5.9% from 6.1% in March, according to the latest data from the National Institute of Statistics (ISTAT).

4 June
Italy saw its unemployment rate drop to 5.9% amid robust labor market — ISTAT
Spain's registered unemployment fell below 2.5 million in May for first time since 2008

The number of people registered as unemployed in Spain dropped below 2.5 million in May, which is the lowest level since the global financial crisis hit nearly 17 years ago, the country’s Labor Ministry reported.

4 June
Spain's registered unemployment fell below 2.5 million in May for first time since 2008
Eurozone inflation fell to 1.9% in May

The May inflation rate for the 20 eurozone countries dropped below the 2% target set by the European Central Bank (ECB) to 1.9%. Reuters experts had predicted that consumer prices in the region would rise by 2% last month.

3 June
Eurozone inflation fell to 1.9% in May
Spain's manufacturing sector sees growth recovery in May

In May, Spain's manufacturing sector showed signs of revitalization, marking the first period of growth since the beginning of 2025. According to experts surveyed by Reuters on Monday, the partial removal of tariffs by the United States boosted business sentiment in the European nation.

3 June
Spain's manufacturing sector sees growth recovery in May
Euro strengthens despite ECB rate cuts — Thomson Reuters

Despite consecutive interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB), the euro continues to gain strength, Reuters reports. Over the past four months, the currency has appreciated over 10% against the dollar, hitting record levels in the trade-weighted index.

3 June
Euro strengthens despite ECB rate cuts — Thomson Reuters
European Union. CPI (MoM). The value of the indicator has decreased from 0.6% to 0%

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of EUR.

3 June
European Union. Unemployment Rate. The value of the indicator has decreased from 6.3% to 6.2%

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.

3 June

The European currency is one of the world's major monetary units. It has a crucial role to play in the global economy. Market participants constantly need to identify trends and forecast fluctuations in the euro exchange rate in order to make reasonable trading decisions.

Key drivers of the euro are the following:

  • Macroeconomic indicators such as consumer price indices (CPI), estimates of gross domestic product (GDP), and central bank decisions;
  • Political variables such as geopolitical stability and government policies.

Market manipulation by large investors has a significant impact on the exchange rate of the European currency. Their actions can both stabilize and greatly shake the money market. These may include:

  • large injections or withdrawals of currency from the market;
  • change in the general mood among investors, which often depends on economic and political conditions.

Investment activity monitoring can help to understand and predict trends in the movement of the European currency rates.

Forecasting the value of the euro is a challenging task. There are many reasons for this, including geopolitical and economic risks that make foreign exchange markets particularly susceptible to change. Minor political instability or financial crisis in certain countries may have a significant impact on the value of the European currency, emphasizing the need to carefully consider these factors when developing investment strategies.

Successful trading the Eurozone currency requires a comprehensive approach. Analyzing global political and economic circumstances, taking into account the influence of traders, and assessing risks are integral parts of the decision-making process for opening trading positions.