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ECB to maintain stimulus policies – Reuters

The European Central Bank (ECB) is poised to maintain its aggressive stimulus policy in a strategy review, according to several regulatory officials who spoke to Reuters.

Today at 10:02 AM
European Union. CFTC EUR speculative positions. The value of the indicator has increased from 59.4K to 65.5K

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.

28 March
Euro gains ground amidst Trump's erratic politics

The euro is gaining ground in the global currency market, bolstered by US economic turmoil under the Trump administration, Bloomberg reports.

28 March
Euro gains ground amidst Trump's erratic politics
Uncertainty in US trade policy continues to weigh on EU equity markets

Major asset managers, including Europe's Amundi, plan to scale back euro-long positions and reduce bullish bets on EU equities, Reuters reports. The move follows retaliatory US import tariffs imposed on the region in early April.

28 March
Uncertainty in US trade policy continues to weigh on EU equity markets
Germany. German Unemployment Rate. The value of the indicator has increased from 6.2% to 6.3%

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of EUR.

28 March
ECB officials expect trade tensions to have extremely negative impact on European economic growth

Tensions created by the United States trade policy may have only a short-term impact on inflation in the eurozone. However, its effects will be much more damaging to the economic growth. This opinion was expressed on Thursday by Luis de Guindos, Vice President of the European Central Bank.

28 March
ECB officials expect trade tensions to have extremely negative impact on European economic growth
ECB's Schnabel: eurozone economic recovery is hampered by distorted perceptions of inflation

Eurozone households underestimate the real growth of their incomes due to ‘misperceptions about inflation.’ This circumstance is hampering the recovery of the EU economy, making the population reluctant to spend money.

28 March
ECB's Schnabel: eurozone economic recovery is hampered by distorted perceptions of inflation
Bloomberg Economics: US tariffs on car imports threaten Germany's economic recovery

According to estimates of the Bloomberg Economics experts, the US President Trump's decision to impose 25% tariffs on car imports may reduce economic growth in Germany by about 0.5% GDP. At the same time, analysts believe that the German economy's growth rate this year will amount to 0.2%.

28 March
Bloomberg Economics: US tariffs on car imports threaten Germany's economic recovery
France reduces budget deficit in 2024 despite gloomy forecasts

France's 2024 budget deficit came in at 5.8% of GDP, outperforming the 6% forecast and surprising analysts who had anticipated more severe deterioration.

27 March
France reduces budget deficit in 2024 despite gloomy forecasts
ECB's Holzmann sees risk of another wave of inflation in eurozone

Robert Holzmann has recently expressed his concern regarding risks of worsening inflation in the region. In his opinion, additional defense spending in several countries within the bloc and US trade policy are the factors that could drive consumer prices upward.

27 March
ECB's Holzmann sees risk of another wave of inflation in eurozone
Trump's tariffs on cars are set to severely hit Europe – the NYT

As reported by the New York Times, the White House announced imposition of a 25% duty on foreign-made cars, sparking concern among European exporters. The decision affects the key sector of the EU economy and creates risks for the German automotive industry.

27 March
Trump's tariffs on cars are set to severely hit Europe – the NYT

The European currency is one of the world's major monetary units. It has a crucial role to play in the global economy. Market participants constantly need to identify trends and forecast fluctuations in the euro exchange rate in order to make reasonable trading decisions.

Key drivers of the euro are the following:

  • Macroeconomic indicators such as consumer price indices (CPI), estimates of gross domestic product (GDP), and central bank decisions;
  • Political variables such as geopolitical stability and government policies.

Market manipulation by large investors has a significant impact on the exchange rate of the European currency. Their actions can both stabilize and greatly shake the money market. These may include:

  • large injections or withdrawals of currency from the market;
  • change in the general mood among investors, which often depends on economic and political conditions.

Investment activity monitoring can help to understand and predict trends in the movement of the European currency rates.

Forecasting the value of the euro is a challenging task. There are many reasons for this, including geopolitical and economic risks that make foreign exchange markets particularly susceptible to change. Minor political instability or financial crisis in certain countries may have a significant impact on the value of the European currency, emphasizing the need to carefully consider these factors when developing investment strategies.

Successful trading the Eurozone currency requires a comprehensive approach. Analyzing global political and economic circumstances, taking into account the influence of traders, and assessing risks are integral parts of the decision-making process for opening trading positions.