Euro News (EUR)

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An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.

23 January
Bundesbank data points to German economic stagnation in Q2

According to the Bundesbank, Germany's economy likely showed no growth in the second quarter after a surprisingly strong expansion at the start of the year. In the first quarter of 2025, the country's GDP grew by 0.4%.

17 July 2025
Bundesbank data points to German economic stagnation in Q2
Dollar assets hedging could push euro to 1.30 — Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley strategists predict that the euro could rise to 1.30 per dollar as European investors seek to hedge nearly $4 trillion in US assets. Doubts about the dollar's status as a safe-haven asset are prompting investors to protect themselves from further volatility.

17 July 2025
Dollar assets hedging could push euro to 1.30 — Morgan Stanley
EU faces mounting pressure from US tariffs — Bloomberg

Bloomberg analysts warn that escalating US import tariffs could push the European Union toward recession. Proposed 30% duties on EU goods would further strain bloc economies already struggling with France's growing budget deficit and Germany's economic stagnation.

16 July 2025
EU faces mounting pressure from US tariffs — Bloomberg
European Union. Trade Balance. The value of the indicator has increased from 11.1B to 16.2B

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.

16 July 2025
Francois Bayrou announced measures to address France's growing budget deficit

Francois Bayrou has announced measures to address France's growing budget deficit. The government plans to reduce the deficit by 43.8 billion euros ($50.88 billion) to stabilize public finances, aiming to lower it to 4.6% by 2026 and 3% by 2029.

16 July 2025
Francois Bayrou announced measures to address France's growing budget deficit
ZEW reports improvement in German investor sentiment in July above forecasts

According to the ZEW economic research institute, German investor sentiment rose to 52.7 points in July from 47.5 points in June. This exceeded the forecast of analysts polled by Reuters, who had expected a rise to 50.3.

16 July 2025
ZEW reports improvement in German investor sentiment in July above forecasts
Euro poised to rally to 1.40 against US dollar – BCA Research

According to Jeremie Peloso, Chief Europe Strategist at financial advisory firm BCA Research, the euro is in the early stages of a multi-year bull market that could eventually take EUR/USD to 1.40.

15 July 2025
Euro poised to rally to 1.40 against US dollar – BCA Research
Germany’s declining competitiveness makes exporters lose ground — Bundesbank

According to the Bundesbank’s report, German exporters have lost much of their global market share since 2021, primarily due to the country's declining competitiveness. A key driver behind the sharp drop in German exports between 2021 and 2023 was worsening supply-side conditions.

15 July 2025
Germany’s declining competitiveness makes exporters lose ground — Bundesbank
ECB officials say they intend to pause rate cuts despite US tariff risks

Five senior European Central Bank officials said that the US President's threat to impose 30% tariffs on European imports complicates the regulator's decision-making process. However, they said this is unlikely to derail plans to pause rate cuts next week.

15 July 2025
ECB officials say they intend to pause rate cuts despite US tariff risks
EU plans to boost cooperation with other nations to counter US import tariffs

The European Union (EU) plans to strengthen cooperation with other countries affected by US President Donald Trump's import tariffs, following new trade threats against the bloc and America's other trading partners, Bloomberg reports.

14 July 2025
EU plans to boost cooperation with other nations to counter US import tariffs

The European currency is one of the world's major monetary units. It has a crucial role to play in the global economy. Market participants constantly need to identify trends and forecast fluctuations in the euro exchange rate in order to make reasonable trading decisions.

Key drivers of the euro are the following:

  • Macroeconomic indicators such as consumer price indices (CPI), estimates of gross domestic product (GDP), and central bank decisions;
  • Political variables such as geopolitical stability and government policies.

Market manipulation by large investors has a significant impact on the exchange rate of the European currency. Their actions can both stabilize and greatly shake the money market. These may include:

  • large injections or withdrawals of currency from the market;
  • change in the general mood among investors, which often depends on economic and political conditions.

Investment activity monitoring can help to understand and predict trends in the movement of the European currency rates.

Forecasting the value of the euro is a challenging task. There are many reasons for this, including geopolitical and economic risks that make foreign exchange markets particularly susceptible to change. Minor political instability or financial crisis in certain countries may have a significant impact on the value of the European currency, emphasizing the need to carefully consider these factors when developing investment strategies.

Successful trading the Eurozone currency requires a comprehensive approach. Analyzing global political and economic circumstances, taking into account the influence of traders, and assessing risks are integral parts of the decision-making process for opening trading positions.