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Uncertainty over US tariff policy weighs on European companies’ outlook

Major European companies are facing turbulence from US tariffs. Despite the recent trade truce between the US and China, investors remain wary as uncertainty persists, Reuters reports.

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German business activity surges at fastest pace in 10 months

Germany's private sector grew at its fastest pace in 10 months in March as the S&P Global Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index rose to 50.9 from 50.4 in February, remaining above the threshold separating growth from contraction.

24 March
German business activity surges at fastest pace in 10 months
Eurozone business activity rises driven by fiscal boosts

Business activity in the eurozone reached a seven-month high, just slightly short of the mark predicted by analysts. The composite PMI of the region rose to 50.4, above the level of 50 that separates recession from growth.

24 March
Eurozone business activity rises driven by fiscal boosts
Oxford Economics warns of Trump’s trade policy impact on EU economy

Analysts at Oxford Economics predict a decline in business investment across the world’s largest economies, including the European Union, amid growing economic uncertainty. US President Donald Trump’s trade policies have disrupted global market stability.

24 March
Oxford Economics warns of Trump’s trade policy impact on EU economy
Cipollone: ECB’s stance on rate cuts has strengthened

According to Piero Cipollone, arguments in favor of additional interest rate cuts have grown stronger. He cited the decline in energy prices and the strengthening of the euro as key factors that could allow the regulator to pursue further monetary easing.

24 March
Cipollone: ECB’s stance on rate cuts has strengthened
European Union. Markit Composite PMI. The value of the indicator has increased from 50.2 to 50.4

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.

24 March
European Union. Manufacturing PMI. The value of the indicator has increased from 47.6 to 48.7

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.

24 March
Morningstar DBRS turns negative on France's credit rating

This week, Morningstar DBRS downgraded its outlook on France's creditworthiness. The agency has once more cautioned the market about the mounting debt challenges faced by the nation, as Bloomberg reports.

24 March
Morningstar DBRS turns negative on France's credit rating
Germany. German Manufacturing PMI. The value of the indicator has increased from 46.5 to 48.3

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.

24 March
Germany. German Composite PMI. The value of the indicator has increased from 50.4 to 50.9

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.

24 March
Dutch central bank President uncertain about ECB rate cut prospects due to trade tensions

According to President of the Dutch Central Bank Klaas Knot, the prospects for interest rate cuts in Europe remain in doubt due to global trade tensions and the need to increase defense spending. These factors make it difficult to predict inflationary trends in the region, the official said.

24 March
Dutch central bank President uncertain about ECB rate cut prospects due to trade tensions

The European currency is one of the world's major monetary units. It has a crucial role to play in the global economy. Market participants constantly need to identify trends and forecast fluctuations in the euro exchange rate in order to make reasonable trading decisions.

Key drivers of the euro are the following:

  • Macroeconomic indicators such as consumer price indices (CPI), estimates of gross domestic product (GDP), and central bank decisions;
  • Political variables such as geopolitical stability and government policies.

Market manipulation by large investors has a significant impact on the exchange rate of the European currency. Their actions can both stabilize and greatly shake the money market. These may include:

  • large injections or withdrawals of currency from the market;
  • change in the general mood among investors, which often depends on economic and political conditions.

Investment activity monitoring can help to understand and predict trends in the movement of the European currency rates.

Forecasting the value of the euro is a challenging task. There are many reasons for this, including geopolitical and economic risks that make foreign exchange markets particularly susceptible to change. Minor political instability or financial crisis in certain countries may have a significant impact on the value of the European currency, emphasizing the need to carefully consider these factors when developing investment strategies.

Successful trading the Eurozone currency requires a comprehensive approach. Analyzing global political and economic circumstances, taking into account the influence of traders, and assessing risks are integral parts of the decision-making process for opening trading positions.