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EU prepares strong response to possible 30% US tariffs — Reuters

According to Reuters, France and Germany are weighing possible countermeasures against the US if talks with the Trump administration fail to produce an agreement.

23 July
Italy saw improvement in business and consumer sentiment in May

Thursday's data showed that Italian business and consumer sentiment rebounded in May after a recent slump. According to Reuters analysts, this suggests the possibility of more sustainable growth in the eurozone's third-largest economy.

30 May
Italy saw improvement in business and consumer sentiment in May
Germany. German Retail Sales (MoM). The value of the indicator has decreased from 0.9% to -1.1%

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of EUR.

30 May
Lagarde sees US difficulties as opportunities for Europe and its currency to compete with dollar

The US dollar's status as the world's reserve currency in 2025 is often questioned. The main candidate for this role is the euro. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde identified the United States' challenges as opportunities for Europe.

29 May
Lagarde sees US difficulties as opportunities for Europe and its currency to compete with dollar
Bank of France governor signals ECB rate cut in June

Francois Villeroy de Galhau, a member of the European Central Bank's (ECB) Governing Council, has indicated the possibility of further interest rate cuts in the eurozone. This potential move comes amid stagnant consumer price growth, despite the recent imposition of US trade tariffs.

29 May
Bank of France governor signals ECB rate cut in June
European Union trust soars to highest level in nearly two decades

Citizens' trust in EU institutions has reached a record high, showing growth amid tense international conditions. According to an Eurobarometer survey conducted in March and April 2025, over half of the 26,000 Europeans polled expressed confidence in the EU's actions.

29 May
European Union trust soars to highest level in nearly two decades
May sees German unemployment figures outperform analyst expectations

In May, the number of unemployed in Germany exceeded the expectations of Reuters-polled analysts, putting pressure on the new government as it attempts to steer the country's economy out of a prolonged downturn.

29 May
May sees German unemployment figures outperform analyst expectations
ECB says eurozone consumers’ inflation expectations rose for second consecutive month in April

According to a monthly poll held by the ECB, prices in the eurozone are projected to rise 3.1% over the next 12 months. The reading increased compared to 2.9% in March.

29 May
ECB says eurozone consumers’ inflation expectations rose for second consecutive month in April
Consumer spending in France rose less than expected in April

France's consumer spending grew less than expected in April, as weak household demand weighed on economic expansion earlier this year.

28 May
Consumer spending in France rose less than expected in April
ECB’s Nagel expects imminent return of inflation in Europe to its target level

According to statements by Joachim Nagel, a member of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank (ECB), the region is close to achieving the target inflation rate of 2%. However, he noted that current global market uncertainty makes it impossible to predict further changes.

28 May
ECB’s Nagel expects imminent return of inflation in Europe to its target level
Germany. German Unemployment Rate. The value of the indicator remained at the same level of 6.3%

No change of the indicator value may reduce the volatility of the related markets.

28 May

The European currency is one of the world's major monetary units. It has a crucial role to play in the global economy. Market participants constantly need to identify trends and forecast fluctuations in the euro exchange rate in order to make reasonable trading decisions.

Key drivers of the euro are the following:

  • Macroeconomic indicators such as consumer price indices (CPI), estimates of gross domestic product (GDP), and central bank decisions;
  • Political variables such as geopolitical stability and government policies.

Market manipulation by large investors has a significant impact on the exchange rate of the European currency. Their actions can both stabilize and greatly shake the money market. These may include:

  • large injections or withdrawals of currency from the market;
  • change in the general mood among investors, which often depends on economic and political conditions.

Investment activity monitoring can help to understand and predict trends in the movement of the European currency rates.

Forecasting the value of the euro is a challenging task. There are many reasons for this, including geopolitical and economic risks that make foreign exchange markets particularly susceptible to change. Minor political instability or financial crisis in certain countries may have a significant impact on the value of the European currency, emphasizing the need to carefully consider these factors when developing investment strategies.

Successful trading the Eurozone currency requires a comprehensive approach. Analyzing global political and economic circumstances, taking into account the influence of traders, and assessing risks are integral parts of the decision-making process for opening trading positions.