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EU prepares strong response to possible 30% US tariffs — Reuters

According to Reuters, France and Germany are weighing possible countermeasures against the US if talks with the Trump administration fail to produce an agreement.

23 July
Weakened dollar creates opportunities for stronger euro

Many European officials have emphasized the potential opportunity presented by the weakening perception of the dollar as a safe-haven asset, with growing optimism about the euro's emerging role.

28 April
Weakened dollar creates opportunities for stronger euro
Surging euro adds to European corporate sector’s struggles

Since the beginning of March 2025, the euro has risen by 9.35%. This is bad news for the EU’s export-driven economy. Companies in the STOXX 600 index generate 60% of their revenues from outside Europe, with half of that coming from the US.

28 April
Surging euro adds to European corporate sector’s struggles
US tariffs push ECB toward June rate cut — Bloomberg

European Central Bank (ECB) officials are weighing further interest rates cuts in June in an effort to shield the region’s economy from the impact of US tariffs even if Washington softens its stance, Bloomberg reports.

28 April
US tariffs push ECB toward June rate cut — Bloomberg
ECB’s Simkus expects two possible rate cuts

In the view of Governing Council member Gediminas Simkus, it is expected that the European Central Bank (ECB) may cut interest rates again.

28 April
ECB’s Simkus expects two possible rate cuts
ECB set for modest rate cut in June amid slowing inflation — Reuters

The European Central Bank (ECB) is considering easing monetary policy in June as inflation in the region slows. However, Reuters sources caution that any major rate cuts are still off the table for now.

28 April
ECB set for modest rate cut in June amid slowing inflation — Reuters
ECB launches project group for simplification of banking regulation

European Central Bank (ECB) convened a new project group led by central bank governors of Germany, France, Italy, and Finland.

28 April
ECB launches project group for simplification of banking regulation
European Union. CFTC EUR speculative positions. The value of the indicator has decreased from 69.3K to 65K

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of EUR.

25 April
Germany lowers economic growth forecast due to US trade policy

The German government has recently downgraded its economic growth forecast and now expects GDP to stagnate this year. Federal Minister Robert Habeck linked such an adjustment to the adverse effects of US President Donald Trump's trade policies on the country’s ability to export.

25 April
Germany lowers economic growth forecast due to US trade policy
Reuters considers euro worthy candidate for global reserve currency role

Since Donald Trump's inauguration, the dollar has lost about a tenth of its value. The downtrend is largely driven by unpredictable policies of the US President. The dollar's status as the world's reserve currency was shaken. The euro may benefit from this, Reuters experts believe.

25 April
Reuters considers euro worthy candidate for global reserve currency role
ECB to develop more flexible long-term strategy after inflation shock of previous years

According to the Bloomberg report, the European Central Bank intends to change its monetary policy strategy to respond more effectively to inflationary shocks. The growing instability of the global environment creates additional reasons for that.

25 April
ECB to develop more flexible long-term strategy after inflation shock of previous years

The European currency is one of the world's major monetary units. It has a crucial role to play in the global economy. Market participants constantly need to identify trends and forecast fluctuations in the euro exchange rate in order to make reasonable trading decisions.

Key drivers of the euro are the following:

  • Macroeconomic indicators such as consumer price indices (CPI), estimates of gross domestic product (GDP), and central bank decisions;
  • Political variables such as geopolitical stability and government policies.

Market manipulation by large investors has a significant impact on the exchange rate of the European currency. Their actions can both stabilize and greatly shake the money market. These may include:

  • large injections or withdrawals of currency from the market;
  • change in the general mood among investors, which often depends on economic and political conditions.

Investment activity monitoring can help to understand and predict trends in the movement of the European currency rates.

Forecasting the value of the euro is a challenging task. There are many reasons for this, including geopolitical and economic risks that make foreign exchange markets particularly susceptible to change. Minor political instability or financial crisis in certain countries may have a significant impact on the value of the European currency, emphasizing the need to carefully consider these factors when developing investment strategies.

Successful trading the Eurozone currency requires a comprehensive approach. Analyzing global political and economic circumstances, taking into account the influence of traders, and assessing risks are integral parts of the decision-making process for opening trading positions.