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A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of EUR.

16 July
EU authorities raise EIB lending limit to record €100 billion in 2025

At the end of last week, EU governments decided to raise the European Investment Bank's (EIB) lending limit to €100 billion ($115 billion) for 2025. Additionally, the organization's funding for the region's defense industry may be tripled.

23 June 2025
EU authorities raise EIB lending limit to record €100 billion in 2025
European Union. Manufacturing PMI. The value of the indicator remained at the same level of 49.4

No change of the indicator value may reduce the volatility of the related markets.

23 June 2025
Germany. German Manufacturing PMI. The value of the indicator has increased from 48.3 to 49

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of EUR.

23 June 2025
ECB's Centeno considers eurozone economy weak and in need of stimulus

According to Mario Centeno, representative of the European Central Bank (ECB) and head of the Portugal’s financial regulator, the eurozone economy is “weak” and needs “further stimulus” from the region's central bank.

23 June 2025
ECB's Centeno considers eurozone economy weak and in need of stimulus
French manufacturing sentiment declines — Insee

Inflation and external economic challenges continue to restrain the growth of the French economy. In June, the Insee business sentiment index unexpectedly stood at 96 points, against the anticipated 98, according to data from the national statistical agency.

20 June 2025
French manufacturing sentiment declines — Insee
EU sees potential for reciprocal 10% tariffs with US

According to five sources familiar with the matter who spoke to Reuters, European officials are starting to come to terms with the possibility of mutual 10% import tariffs with the US after enduring lengthy negotiations.

20 June 2025
EU sees potential for reciprocal 10% tariffs with US
LIAN Group founder predicts euro-based stablecoins to weaken dollar dominance by 2028

Euro-based stablecoins could rival their dollar counterparts by 2028, according to Fiorenzo Manganiello, founder and managing partner of LIAN Group.

20 June 2025
LIAN Group founder predicts euro-based stablecoins to weaken dollar dominance by 2028
ECB's Villeroy de Galhau sees further rate cuts as next policy move

If the European Central Bank (ECB) decides to adjust borrowing costs within the next six months, it would most likely be a rate cut, stated Governing Council member Franсois Villeroy de Galhau. Earlier this month, the ECB signaled a pause in its monetary easing cycle.

20 June 2025
ECB's Villeroy de Galhau sees further rate cuts as next policy move
IMF warns of stagnation risk in Europe without immediate action

Europe is at risk of falling into stagnation, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) warns. To prevent this, the continent must address slowing economic growth, boost investment, and counter geopolitical threats.

20 June 2025
IMF warns of stagnation risk in Europe without immediate action
Friedrich Merz’s tax relief package to gain support from Germany’s Upper House — Bloomberg

Chancellor Friedrich Merz has stated that the Bundesrat (Germany’s upper house of parliament) will support his €46 billion ($52.72 billion) tax relief package once the dispute over federal spending is resolved. Further details on the compromise will be announced soon, the official added.

19 June 2025
Friedrich Merz’s tax relief package to gain support from Germany’s Upper House — Bloomberg

The European currency is one of the world's major monetary units. It has a crucial role to play in the global economy. Market participants constantly need to identify trends and forecast fluctuations in the euro exchange rate in order to make reasonable trading decisions.

Key drivers of the euro are the following:

  • Macroeconomic indicators such as consumer price indices (CPI), estimates of gross domestic product (GDP), and central bank decisions;
  • Political variables such as geopolitical stability and government policies.

Market manipulation by large investors has a significant impact on the exchange rate of the European currency. Their actions can both stabilize and greatly shake the money market. These may include:

  • large injections or withdrawals of currency from the market;
  • change in the general mood among investors, which often depends on economic and political conditions.

Investment activity monitoring can help to understand and predict trends in the movement of the European currency rates.

Forecasting the value of the euro is a challenging task. There are many reasons for this, including geopolitical and economic risks that make foreign exchange markets particularly susceptible to change. Minor political instability or financial crisis in certain countries may have a significant impact on the value of the European currency, emphasizing the need to carefully consider these factors when developing investment strategies.

Successful trading the Eurozone currency requires a comprehensive approach. Analyzing global political and economic circumstances, taking into account the influence of traders, and assessing risks are integral parts of the decision-making process for opening trading positions.