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No change of the indicator value may reduce the volatility of the related markets.

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Financial and political barriers hamper Macron and Merz’s economic initiatives — Politico

Friedrich Merz assumed the role of German Chancellor after winning the second round of voting. Among his first steps in office, he is set to visit French President Emmanuel Macron in Paris.

7 May 2025
Financial and political barriers hamper Macron and Merz’s economic initiatives — Politico
European Union. Retail Sales (MoM). The value of the indicator has decreased from 0.2% to -0.1%

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of EUR.

7 May 2025
European Union. Retail Sales (YoY). The value of the indicator has decreased from 1.9% to 1.5%

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of EUR.

7 May 2025
ECB stress test to have less impact on EU banks' capital ratios — Bloomberg

The current stress test of Europe's largest banks is expected to have less impact on capital ratios than the previous one due to the sector’s strong profitability last year.

7 May 2025
ECB stress test to have less impact on EU banks' capital ratios — Bloomberg
Germany's newly elected chancellor launches economic reset amid political divisions

Friedrich Merz initially failed to secure the parliamentary support required to become Germany’s next chancellor, Bloomberg reported. However, after hours of deliberation with constitutional scholars, he ultimately secured the support of 316 out of 630 lawmakers, clinching a slim majority.

7 May 2025
Germany's newly elected chancellor launches economic reset amid political divisions
Germany’s private sector demonstrated slight growth in April

The private sector of the German economy managed to grow in April, performing better than forecast after the US tariff announcement.

6 May 2025
Germany’s private sector demonstrated slight growth in April
Eurozone investor confidence rebounds in May after tariff shock — Sentix

Investor sentiment in the eurozone showed a stronger-than-expected rebound in May, recovering from the sharp decline caused by recent statements from US President Donald Trump regarding tariffs. Despite this improvement, the overall mood remains fragile.

6 May 2025
Eurozone investor confidence rebounds in May after tariff shock — Sentix
Renault and Stellantis CEOs warn EU car market may collapse

Executives from Renault and Stellantis have issued a stark warning about the potential collapse of the EU car market unless the European Commission overhauls its environmental policies.

6 May 2025
Renault and Stellantis CEOs warn EU car market may collapse
Euro is going to strengthen next year — Danske Bank

Danske Bank predicts the strengthening of the main European Union’s currency by 2026. According to the forecast, the euro-dollar pair is going to reach 1.22 a year from now, up from the current 1.13.

6 May 2025
Euro is going to strengthen next year — Danske Bank
European Union. PPI (YoY). The value of the indicator has decreased from 3% to 1.9%

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of EUR.

6 May 2025

The European currency is one of the world's major monetary units. It has a crucial role to play in the global economy. Market participants constantly need to identify trends and forecast fluctuations in the euro exchange rate in order to make reasonable trading decisions.

Key drivers of the euro are the following:

  • Macroeconomic indicators such as consumer price indices (CPI), estimates of gross domestic product (GDP), and central bank decisions;
  • Political variables such as geopolitical stability and government policies.

Market manipulation by large investors has a significant impact on the exchange rate of the European currency. Their actions can both stabilize and greatly shake the money market. These may include:

  • large injections or withdrawals of currency from the market;
  • change in the general mood among investors, which often depends on economic and political conditions.

Investment activity monitoring can help to understand and predict trends in the movement of the European currency rates.

Forecasting the value of the euro is a challenging task. There are many reasons for this, including geopolitical and economic risks that make foreign exchange markets particularly susceptible to change. Minor political instability or financial crisis in certain countries may have a significant impact on the value of the European currency, emphasizing the need to carefully consider these factors when developing investment strategies.

Successful trading the Eurozone currency requires a comprehensive approach. Analyzing global political and economic circumstances, taking into account the influence of traders, and assessing risks are integral parts of the decision-making process for opening trading positions.