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Oil prices go down amid concerns over impact of trade frictions on fuel consumption

On Tuesday, oil prices are declining due to pressure from concerns over escalating trade tensions. Market participants are worried about the impact of increasing friction between the US and EU on economic activity and fuel demand.

22 July
Oil prices volatility impedes trading amid Trump's trading policy

According to Bloomberg, the oil market experienced a sharp volatility increase after the announcement of new import tariffs by Donal Trump. The current situation can lead to the reduction in liquidity, and investors have already started to withdraw funds from the oil sector.

21 April
Oil prices volatility impedes trading amid Trump's trading policy
Trade tensions prompt China to cut imports of US goods

Chinese customs data released on Sunday showed a sharp decline in imports of liquefied natural gas (LNG) and wheat from the United States, with purchases falling to zero in March. Last year, the US accounted for 5% of China's fuel deliveries and 17% of its maize supplies.

21 April
Trade tensions prompt China to cut imports of US goods
Iraq's oil exports fall 3% in Q1 2025

According to the Energy Research Unit, in the first three months of the year, oil and petroleum products supplies from Iraq decreased by 110,000 barrels per day (bpd) year-on-year, totaling 3.7 million bpd.

21 April
Iraq's oil exports fall 3% in Q1 2025
Russian Ministry of Economic Development lowers 2025 Brent oil price forecast by nearly 17%

The Russian Ministry of Economic Development has lowered its expectations for the average price of Brent oil in 2025 by almost 17% to $68 per barrel in contrast with the department's September forecast of $81.7 per barrel, Interfax reported.

21 April
Russian Ministry of Economic Development lowers 2025 Brent oil price forecast by nearly 17%
Oil falls on renewed investor concerns about lower demand

Oil fell more than 1.5% on Monday. Markets are once again focused on the expected decline in fuel demand driven by the US trade policy. Crude prices also declined following signs of progress in talks between the US and Iran.

21 April
Oil falls on renewed investor concerns about lower demand
United States. CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions. The value of the indicator has increased from 139.6K to 146.4K

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of WTI, Brent.

18 April
Major analysts' forecasts on oil prices going lower due to US trade policy

Lead financial institutions actively review their oil market forecasts, accessing the impact of trade conflicts on the world economy. According to Bloomberg data, oil consumption expectations were lowered by 320 thousand barrels per day. It's close to one-third of annual demand growth.

18 April
Major analysts' forecasts on oil prices going lower due to US trade policy
Czech Republic cuts off Russian imports and completes transition to Western oil sources

Czech Prime Minister Petr Fiala announced a major milestone on Thursday: the country has completely weaned itself off Russian oil for the first time in 60 years. This historic shift marks a complete halt to fuel deliveries through the Druzhba pipeline.

18 April
Czech Republic cuts off Russian imports and completes transition to Western oil sources
Oil exports from Russian Arctic to China to surge – Reuters

According to traders and Vortexa data provided by Reuters, volumes of Russian Arctic oil exported to China could show a sharp increase this month due to active ship-to-ship offshore transfers.

18 April
Oil exports from Russian Arctic to China to surge – Reuters
Baker Hughes reports first increase in US rig count in 4 weeks

Baker Hughes released its report on the number of oil and gas rigs in the US one day earlier due to the Good Friday holiday. The count rose by two over the past week, reaching a total of 585 units. While marking the first increase in four weeks, the rise remained below last year's levels.

18 April
Baker Hughes reports first increase in US rig count in 4 weeks

News on oil prices is not just information for specialists. This is an important signal for every experienced trader. This section of the website will help you understand when there’s a "Strong buy" signal for oil and when it is a "Strong sell" signal.

Oil price movements are more than just charts on a screen. It is one of the key drivers of the global economy. Understanding these dynamics helps in making rational decisions and adapting to changes.

What determines oil prices?

  • Global events. Political crises, conflicts, and agreements between producing countries have a huge impact on oil prices.
  • Supply and demand. When many consumers try to buy oil that is in deficit – the prices go up. Otherwise, when supply is greater than demand, the prices go down.
  • Russia and Saudi Arabia. These countries are among the leading oil producers. Their decisions on oil output have a direct impact on the global market.
  • OPEC. This is a group of oil-producing countries. Their agreements on production cuts are aided at stabilizing prices.
  • Alternative energy sources. The development of solar, wind, and other power stations can weaken the countries' dependence on oil and put pressure on its prices.
  • Electric cars. The increasing popularity of electric cars reduces the need for gasoline and, consequently, for crude oil.
  • Global tensions. Oil is a strategic resource. Geopolitical events can affect its production and prices.
  • Environmental constraints. Rising environmental awareness may reduce demand for oil, affecting its price.

Why follow the latest oil news?

  • To make informed investment decisions. Being aware of the oil industry news helps you make conscious choices.
  • To assess the impact on the economy. Oil prices can affect inflation, economic growth, and even our wages.