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Oil prices go down amid concerns over impact of trade frictions on fuel consumption

On Tuesday, oil prices are declining due to pressure from concerns over escalating trade tensions. Market participants are worried about the impact of increasing friction between the US and EU on economic activity and fuel demand.

22 July
United States. API Weekly Crude Oil Stock. The value of the indicator has increased from -4.6M to 6.037M

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the fall in quotes of WTI, Brent.

1 April
Expected slowdown in oil demand to pressure crude prices this year — Reuters

In the opinion of economists surveyed by Reuters, oil prices will remain under pressure in 2025 due to US tariffs and slower economic growth in major countries such as India and China. These circumstances will have a negative impact on energy consumption.

1 April
Expected slowdown in oil demand to pressure crude prices this year — Reuters
Macquarie sees oil falling to $60 on supply surplus

Macquarie forecasts oil prices could slump to $60 per barrel—a level not seen since 2021—as markets remain oversupplied. Crude oil demand is weakening amid escalating global trade tensions, just as OPEC+ prepares to boost output this month.

1 April
Macquarie sees oil falling to $60 on supply surplus
Oil prices maintain strong gains amid Donald Trump’s trade tariffs

Oil prices stabilized after Monday’s surge, which was triggered by US President Donald Trump’s threat to restrict Russian energy supplies. Oil markets are increasingly pricing in potential disruptions to Russian crude supplies.

1 April
Oil prices maintain strong gains amid Donald Trump’s trade tariffs
Trump’s proposed tariffs on Russian oil are forcing India to seek alternative suppliers

Indian refiners have rushed back to the market to secure alternative crude supplies after US President Donald Trump’s proposed restrictions on Russian oil sparked fears of supply disruptions, Bloomberg reports.

1 April
Trump’s proposed tariffs on Russian oil are forcing India to seek alternative suppliers
Reuters: oil markets consider Trump's threat of Russian fuel tariffs as bluff

Oil prices edged higher Monday following President Trump's threat to impose 25% tariffs on buyers of Russian crude. However, the gains remained modest as traders weighed the likelihood of actual imposition, Reuters reported.

31 March
Reuters: oil markets consider Trump's threat of Russian fuel tariffs as bluff
Saudi Arabia may cut oil prices for Asian buyers in May – Reuters

Saudi Arabia is considering lowering oil prices for Asian customers in May, Reuters reports, referring to results of a survey conducted among oil refining companies in the region.

31 March
Saudi Arabia may cut oil prices for Asian buyers in May – Reuters
Oil eases despite Trump warning of tariffs on buyers of Russian energy

Reuters reports that oil prices ease on Monday despite warnings from US President Donald Trump about possible tariffs on countries that buy Russian crude.

31 March
Oil eases despite Trump warning of tariffs on buyers of Russian energy
United States. CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions. The value of the indicator has increased from 166.8K to 180.6K

An increase of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of WTI, Brent.

28 March
United States. U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count. The value of the indicator has decreased from 593 to 592

A decrease of the indicator value may contribute to the rise in quotes of NG, WTI, Brent.

28 March

News on oil prices is not just information for specialists. This is an important signal for every experienced trader. This section of the website will help you understand when there’s a "Strong buy" signal for oil and when it is a "Strong sell" signal.

Oil price movements are more than just charts on a screen. It is one of the key drivers of the global economy. Understanding these dynamics helps in making rational decisions and adapting to changes.

What determines oil prices?

  • Global events. Political crises, conflicts, and agreements between producing countries have a huge impact on oil prices.
  • Supply and demand. When many consumers try to buy oil that is in deficit – the prices go up. Otherwise, when supply is greater than demand, the prices go down.
  • Russia and Saudi Arabia. These countries are among the leading oil producers. Their decisions on oil output have a direct impact on the global market.
  • OPEC. This is a group of oil-producing countries. Their agreements on production cuts are aided at stabilizing prices.
  • Alternative energy sources. The development of solar, wind, and other power stations can weaken the countries' dependence on oil and put pressure on its prices.
  • Electric cars. The increasing popularity of electric cars reduces the need for gasoline and, consequently, for crude oil.
  • Global tensions. Oil is a strategic resource. Geopolitical events can affect its production and prices.
  • Environmental constraints. Rising environmental awareness may reduce demand for oil, affecting its price.

Why follow the latest oil news?

  • To make informed investment decisions. Being aware of the oil industry news helps you make conscious choices.
  • To assess the impact on the economy. Oil prices can affect inflation, economic growth, and even our wages.