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Yen enters July with confidence amid dollar weakness

Over the past six months, the yen has gained 9% against the dollar on the background of global trade tensions and Donald Trump's calls for interest rate cuts in the US. As noted by Bloomberg, optimism for the yen is added by historical trends.

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Bank of Japan likely to delay rate hike until early 2026 — Reuters

According to economists surveyed by Reuters, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is expected to hold off on further monetary tightening this year due to uncertainty surrounding Donald Trump’s trade policies.

11 June
Bank of Japan likely to delay rate hike until early 2026 — Reuters
Sluggish UK growth to prompt further rate cuts by central bank — Reuters poll

A Reuters poll suggests that the UK economy will expand by just 1% this year, with weak growth prospects likely pushing the Bank of England (BoE) to cut interest rates twice more before December. So far, uncertainty surrounding potential US tariffs has had minimal impact on analytical forecasts.

11 June
Sluggish UK growth to prompt further rate cuts by central bank — Reuters poll
Bloomberg analysts see 90% probability of US approving Solana ETF this year

Bloomberg analysts have published an updated forecast predicting which cryptocurrency ETFs will be approved next by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). They expect Litecoin and Solana exchange-traded funds to be approved in 2025 with a 90% probability.

11 June
Bloomberg analysts see 90% probability of US approving Solana ETF this year
Canada’s economy is in ‘suspended animation’ — CEO of Canadian Imperal Bank of Commerce

According to Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce head, Victor Dodig, the Canadian economy is experiencing a period of stagnation. Major investment projects are frozen, and unemployment has reached 7%, demonstrating four months of weak employment growth.

11 June
Canada’s economy is in ‘suspended animation’ — CEO of Canadian Imperal Bank of Commerce
Glencore actively withdraws Russian copper from LME warehouses to deliver to China

The London Metal Exchange (LME) has reported a record drawdown of Russian copper, marking the steepest decline since it began publishing data in 2023. According to Bloomberg, the drop comes as Glencore ramps up purchases for shipments to China.

11 June
Glencore actively withdraws Russian copper from LME warehouses to deliver to China
Reuters predicts Bank of Japan's interest rate to remain at 0.5% in June

According to Reuters, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is likely to keep its interest rate unchanged at 0.5% at the upcoming meeting on June 17. However, experts do not rule out the possibility of officials adopting a more hawkish stance if global trade tensions ease amid US-China talks.

10 June
Reuters predicts Bank of Japan's interest rate to remain at 0.5% in June
Number of unemployed people in UK rose to record high in May

According to Bloomberg, the UK labor market is experiencing a sharp downturn. Data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) shows that the number of employed workers fell by 109,000 in May, while unemployment rose to 4.6%.

10 June
Number of unemployed people in UK rose to record high in May
Weak UK employment data strengthens BOE rate cut expectations

Weak UK employment data has reinforced expectations of Bank of England interest rate cuts, according to Bloomberg. The pound fell 0.7% to $1.3456, marking its steepest decline this month, while UK bond yields dropped 5–6 basis points across the curve, outperforming eurozone counterparts.

10 June
Weak UK employment data strengthens BOE rate cut expectations
US tariff hike on aluminum increases likelihood of additional duties on copper — Morgan Stanley

Analysts at Morgan Stanley believe US President Donald Trump’s decision to double tariffs on aluminum to 50% increases the likelihood of additional levies on copper imports.

10 June
US tariff hike on aluminum increases likelihood of additional duties on copper — Morgan Stanley
Australian business activity dropped sharply in May

Australia’s economy saw a sharp slowdown in business activity in May, despite the recent interest rate cuts. According to National Australia Bank (NAB), the business conditions index dropped to zero, falling well below the long-term average of +6.

10 June
Australian business activity dropped sharply in May